The Matchday 33 clash in Ligue 1 between Montpellier and PSG will take place on May 10 at the Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Montpellier
After a goalless draw with Reims in Matchday 31, the team suffered another defeat, losing 0-1 to Brest in their last league game. Consequently, Montpellier's winless streak in Ligue 1 has now reached 13 matches (1 draw, 12 losses). The club has long lost any chance of retaining their place in France's top division and has already finished last in the table, trailing the nearest competitor by 11 points. Montpellier is the league's worst attacking team, having scored only 22 goals. Their defense is also in shambles, conceding 72 times this season. However, they are not the worst in this regard, as Saint-Étienne has conceded 74 goals.
- The club has covered the handicap (+2.5) in 7 of their last 8 Ligue 1 matches.
- Montpellier failed to score in 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament.
- The team's winless home streak in the league is 6 matches (1 draw, 5 losses).
Predicted lineup for Montpellier (5-4-1)
Benjamin Lecomte – Enzo Chato Mbiai, Bechir Omeragic, Yael Mwanga, Luca Mincarelli, Theo Saint-Luc – Tanguy Koulibaly, Rabbi Njingula, Jordan Ferri, Khalil Fayad – Junior Ndiaye.
PSG
The Parisians lost their second consecutive match in the French championship, falling 1-2 to Strasbourg in the last round. It is worth noting that before this, the club had a 32-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1. PSG last lost two consecutive matches in this tournament back in April 2023. However, the Parisians have long achieved their main goal for this season, securing the title early. Despite the two losses, PSG maintains a massive 19-point lead over their closest competitor in the Ligue 1 standings. Additionally, their record away unbeaten streak in the French championship, which lasted 39 matches (30 wins, 9 draws), was also broken in the last round.
- Both teams scored in 9 of PSG's last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- The team conceded in their last 5 away matches in the top French division.
- There was a goal in both halves in 7 of PSG's last 9 away matches in the league.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Matvey Safonov – Warren Zaire-Emery, Axel Tapa, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez – Senny Meyulu, Joao Neves, Lee Kang-In – Ibrahima Mbaye, Goncalo Ramos, Bradley Barcola.
Referee
Mathieu Vernis (France)
Matches – 14 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 63;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 14%.
Montpellier vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The champions have completely switched off towards the end of the season, losing two consecutive matches in the tournament, something that hasn't happened in over two years. In the last round, Luis Enrique made significant changes to the lineup, resulting in an unmotivated PSG failing to handle Strasbourg, who are pushing for European competition. However, the Parisians should easily deal with their upcoming opponent. Montpellier has had a disastrous season and is already planning for the next one, with their main goal being a return to Ligue 1.
The dire performance of the hosts is evident from the statistics, as they have lost 24 of their 32 matches this season (4 wins, 4 draws), collecting only 16 points. Montpellier has a catastrophic goal difference of -50. PSG, with the league's most potent attack, should score plenty against such an opponent. Even in previous seasons, when Montpellier was a mid-table team, their style suited the Parisians, who generally won by large margins. In the last 11 head-to-head Ligue 1 meetings, PSG has defeated Montpellier by at least a two-goal margin. In this season, the difference in strength is even more pronounced, with the Parisians demolishing their upcoming opponent 6-0 in the first round.
I believe that the wounded pride of PSG's stars after two losses should serve as good motivation for the upcoming match. I expect the visitors to win comfortably. My prediction: PSG with a handicap of (-1.5)
