The Serie A Matchday 23 fixture between Napoli and Fiorentina will take place on january 31 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium in Naples. Napoli vs Fiorentina: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Napoli
In the last round, Antonio Conte’s side suffered a heavy away defeat to Juventus (0:3). It was the team’s first loss in their last seven Serie A matches (3 wins, 3 draws), and it is worth noting that prior to that Napoli had not conceded more than two goals in a league game this season. At the same time, it was the sixth time this campaign that the club failed to find the net. Nevertheless, Napoli are among the six highest-scoring teams with 31 goals. In the overall standings, Napoli sit 4th, nine points behind leaders Inter.
- At least one team failed to score in 6 of the club’s last 8 Serie A matches.
- At home, Napoli are unbeaten in 21 straight league games (15 wins, 6 draws).
- In 7 of the last 8 home matches in this competition, the team conceded no more than one goal.
Potential Napoli Lineup (4-3-3)*
Alex Meret – Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Leonardo Spinazzola – Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Miguel Gutiérrez – Antonio Vergara, Rasmus Højlund, Elif Elmas.
Goalkeeper Vanja Milinković-Savić, defender Amir Rrahmani, midfielders Billy Gilmour and Kevin De Bruyne, as well as forwards Matteo Politano and David Neres will miss the match through injury.
Fiorentina
Fiorentina also saw an unbeaten league run come to an end in the last round, with that streak lasting four matches (2 wins, 2 draws), as the team lost at home to Cagliari (1:2). The side have now conceded in four straight matches in this competition. Defensive issues have been a major problem this season: just three clean sheets, the worst record in the league. After last round’s setback, Fiorentina returned to the relegation zone, although they are only one point adrift of safety in 17th.
- Both teams scored in 7 of Fiorentina’s last 9 Serie A matches.
- In this competition away from home, the club have failed to win 10 of their last 11 matches (5 draws, 5 losses).
- In 6 of the last 8 away league games, the team conceded at least two goals.
Potential Fiorentina Lineup (4-3-3)*
David De Gea – Robin Gosens, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongračić, Dodô – Rolando Mandragora, Nicolò Fagioli, Cher Ndour – Manor Solomon, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Guðmundsson.
Defenders Fabiano Parisi and Tariq Lamptey, forward Moise Kean, and Roberto Piccoli will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 9 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Yellow cards per match on average – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 28;
Penalties – 11%.
Napoli vs Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Napoli collapsed in the last round. The team suffered their first heavy defeat of the current league campaign just ahead of a crucial Champions League match, which will determine Napoli’s fate in that European competition. Clearly, Antonio Conte’s side will spend a lot of energy and emotion in the Champions League, and they will head into the next Serie A round not in the best condition. Another factor that could negatively affect Napoli’s results is the crowded injury list, which now includes the first-choice goalkeeper. We should add that the team have won 5 of their last 10 league matches (3 draws, 2 defeats), but in three of those wins they prevailed by the narrowest possible margin.
During their unbeaten run, Fiorentina managed to take points off Milan and Bologna, so the defeat against Cagliari looks unexpected. It is also important to note that the team’s three previous league defeats all came by exactly one goal. And at Napoli’s ground, Fiorentina have lost by this handicap in only one of the last eight head-to-head meetings in this competition. We believe the visitors have a strong chance of staying within a positive handicap again.
Prediction: Fiorentina (+1)
* For each team, the starting lineup listed is from their previous match in this competition.