The Serie A Matchday 25 clash between Napoli and Roma will take place on 15 February at the Diego Armando Maradona in Naples. Napoli vs Roma: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Napoli
Napoli beat Genoa away from home last time out (3:2), claiming a third win from their last four league matches (one defeat). However, it is worth noting that the home team have failed to keep a clean sheet in three consecutive games in this competition, which is Napoli's second-longest run of conceding goals this season. Overall, Antonio Conte's side have let in 23 goals - the worst defensive record among teams in the European places. In the standings, the club sit third, nine points behind leaders Inter.
- At least three goals have been scored in five of Napoli's previous seven Serie A matches.
- On home soil, the team have won nine of their last 12 league games (three draws).
- In seven of their last nine home matches in this competition, the club have not conceded more than one goal.
Potential Napoli Lineup (4-3-3)*
Alex Meret - Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Amir Rrahmani, Leonardo Spinazzola - Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Miguel Gutierrez - Antonio Vergara, Rasmus Hojlund, Elif Elmas.
Midfielders Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Billy Gilmour and Kevin De Bruyne, defender Giovanni Di Lorenzo, as well as forward David Neres will miss the match through injury. Defender Juan Jesus is suspended.
Roma
Roma avoided a first points drop across three consecutive matches, beating Cagliari at home in the previous round. Interestingly, the last four Serie A wins for Gian Piero Gasperini's side have all come by the same 2:0 scoreline. We should also add that Roma have recorded an 11th clean sheet of the league campaign, with only Como (12) and Inter (13) keeping more shutouts. In the overall standings, the club are fifth, and the team have matched their best-ever return for wins after 24 rounds.
- At least one of the teams failed to score in six of Roma's previous seven Serie A matches.
- The team have avoided draws in 15 straight away league games (nine wins, six defeats).
- Roma have conceded in six of their last eight away matches in this competition.
Potential Roma Lineup (4-5-1)*
Mile Svilar - Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Daniele Ghilardi, Zeki Celik - Wesley Franca, Niccolo Pisilli, Bryan Cristante, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Matias Soule - Donyell Malen.
Midfielder Manu Kone, as well as forwards Paulo Dybala, Evan Ferguson, Stephan El Shaarawy and Artem Dovbyk will miss the match through injury.
Referee
Andrea Colombo (Italy)
Matches - 9 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) - 41;
Average yellow cards per match - 4.6;
Red cards shown - 0;
Fouls per match on average - 29;
Penalties - 22%.
Napoli vs Roma: Match Prediction
Naples has remained a fortress for visiting sides not only this season, but for 22 Serie A matches in a row (16 wins, six draws). Roma will also face a tough task, with the visitors looking fairly modest on the road. In the current campaign, Gian Piero Gasperini's men have only one away win against a team from the top half of the table. Moreover, in Naples the capital club have failed to win any of the last six Serie A head-to-head meetings (two draws, four defeats).
In this situation, even a draw would be a good outcome for Roma, and they may be able to grind it out thanks to their defence. Gasperini's side have conceded the fewest goals this season, and only Juventus have managed to score more than once against the away team on their own ground. At the same time, the capital club have not set the league alight going forward, ranking behind seven opponents for goals scored.
Napoli have had no issues with their finishing, but breaking down such a defence will not be easy. The hosts themselves allow little at the back, having conceded more than once in just one of their previous nine home Serie A matches.
Prediction: Napoli, double chance + Under 3.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this competition is listed.