The Round 15 Premier League fixture between Newcastle and Burnley will take place on December 6 at St James' Park. Newcastle – Burnley: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Newcastle
Eddie Howe's side head into the upcoming fixture on a three-game unbeaten run in the league. Interestingly, the club had not enjoyed such a positive sequence in the Premier League since April. The team beat Manchester City (2-1) and Everton (4-1) before sharing the spoils with Tottenham in the last round (2-2). There was an opportunity to beat Spurs, but they avoided defeat with a 95th-minute equaliser. Newcastle have climbed to 12th in the table and have closed the gap to the European places to just five points.
- Both teams scored in the club's last seven Premier League matches.
- At least three goals were scored in each of Newcastle's last seven league games.
- The team has won 10 of their last 14 home matches in the Premier League (1 draw and 3 defeats).
Predicted Newcastle lineup (4-3-3)
Aaron Ramsdale – Valentino Livramento, Malik Tiaw, Lewis Hall, Dan Burn – Sandro Tonali, Lewis Miley, Joelinton – Jacob Murphy, Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade.
Strikers Yoane Wissa and William Osula will miss the game through injury, as will defenders Kieran Trippier and Emil Krafth.
Burnley
Burnley hosted Crystal Palace in the last round and lost 0-1. That was their fifth consecutive defeat in the league, and on three of those occasions the club failed to score. That run has hit their league position – Scott Parker's men remain in the relegation zone and are four points shy of safety in 17th. Notably, Burnley, along with Liverpool, have the fewest draws in the Premier League this season (just one). The team have conceded 28 goals, one fewer than Wolverhampton, who currently have the worst defensive record in the division.
- The club has failed to win in 10 of their last 12 Premier League matches (1 draw, 9 defeats).
- Burnley have conceded at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 league games.
- Both teams scored in the club's last six Premier League away matches.
Predicted Burnley lineup (4-4-2)
Martin Dúbravka – Hjalmar Ekdal, Kyle Walker, Kwilindsi Hartman, Maxim Estev – Jadon Anthony, Florentinu, Josh Kallen, Lum Chauna – Lyle Foster, Zian Flemming.
The club's injury list includes forward Zeku Amdouni, defender Connor Roberts and midfielder Louis Bayer. Midfielder Hannibal Mejbri is suspended for four matches.
Referee
Stuart Attwell (England)
Matches – 9 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 33%.
Match prediction Newcastle – Burnley
It is highly likely that Eddie Howe's side will come out on top in this encounter. The gulf in form between the two teams this season is significant. The Premier League is tightly packed, so even from 12th place Newcastle could find themselves in the European places after a couple of strong results. Expect the home side to push hard for victory, largely through strong attacking performances.
Newcastle are strong at home and have scored at least two goals in each of their last four Premier League matches at St James' Park. Burnley are poor on the road, typically losing and conceding two or more goals, which has been the case in eight of their previous away fixtures in the division. Therefore, I expect at least three goals in this match. That outcome occurred in 16 of Newcastle's last 20 home games in the Premier League and in 15 of Burnley's last 17 away league matches.
My prediction – Total over 3
* The starting lineup shown for each team corresponds to their most recent match in this competition.
