The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League semi-final between PSG (France) and Arsenal (England) will take place on May 7 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. The first match ended 1-0 in favor of PSG. PSG vs. Arsenal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians managed to break their winless streak against Arsenal by securing a 1-0 victory in the first leg. The only goal was scored by Ousmane Dembele, who has netted 25 goals in all competitions in 2025, a record unmatched by any other player in Europe's top five leagues. To reach the Champions League final, Luis Enrique's side only needs to avoid defeat, having won 8 of their last 10 matches in the Champions League. Should PSG lose by exactly one goal, extra time will be required.
- At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of PSG's last 7 Champions League matches.
- The club has conceded in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament.
- On home turf, the French side has not lost in 5 of their last 7 Champions League encounters (4 wins, 1 draw).
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Désiré Doué.
Arsenal
The British side struggles with semi-final matches, having not won in their last 7 encounters at this stage across all competitions. Additionally, their 8-match scoring streak in the Champions League was halted. To advance to the next round, Mikel Arteta's team needs to win by at least two goals. Notably, the team has won 7 of their last 9 Champions League games, with 5 of those victories achieved with the necessary margin. However, only 2 out of 13 clubs that lost at home in the first leg of a Champions League semi-final have gone on to reach the final.
- The British side has scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 9 Champions League matches.
- Arsenal is on a 4-match winning streak away from home in this tournament.
- In their last 6 away Champions League games, the Londoners have conceded exactly 1 goal.
Predicted lineup for Arsenal (4-3-3)
David Raya – Miles Lewis-Skelly, Ben White, William Saliba, Jakub Kiwior – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Bukayo Saka, Gabriel Martinelli, Leandro Trossard.
Forwards Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus, midfielder Jorginho, and defenders Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhães, and Takehiro Tomiyasu will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 73;
Average yellow cards per match – 6.1;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 42%.
Match Prediction for PSG vs. Arsenal
In the first match, PSG scored an early goal but did not retreat into defense, continuing to put pressure on the hosts' defense. Luis Enrique's side could have both increased their lead and conceded on multiple occasions. Arsenal also looked strong in attack, and now the Londoners have no choice but to pursue goals.
Prior to the previous encounter, the British side had scored in 8 consecutive Champions League matches. In their last 4 away games in this tournament, Arsenal has scored an impressive 16 goals. However, they have also conceded in their last 6 away Champions League matches. PSG, in seven home games in the 2024/25 Champions League, has scored 17 goals but managed to keep a clean sheet only twice during this period.
PSG will likely continue their attacking approach. It would be surprising to see defensive play from the Parisians in front of their home crowd. Arsenal, on the other hand, needs a victory, and the British side rarely goes two matches without scoring. I believe both teams will convert more chances than they did in London.
My prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
