The first leg of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League quarter-final between PSG (France) and Aston Villa (England) will take place on April 9 at the Parc des Princes in Paris. PSG vs. Aston Villa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
Luis Enrique's team overcame Liverpool in the previous round. The opponents exchanged 1-0 victories, and only a penalty shootout determined the quarter-finalist. PSG has won 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches, keeping a clean sheet in four of those games. Notably, with 25 goals, PSG ranks fifth in scoring in this Champions League campaign. Additionally, this is the fourth time in the last six seasons that the Parisians have reached the Champions League quarter-finals.
- PSG has scored at least two goals in 5 of their last 7 Champions League games.
- PSG has conceded in 6 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament.
- The French team has opened the scoring in 5 of their last 7 Champions League encounters.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Lucas Beraldo, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Defender Marquinhos will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. Midfielder Lee Kang-in is injured.
Aston Villa
Unai Emery's side confidently advanced to the quarter-finals. After a 3-1 away win over Club Brugge, the English team defeated the Belgians 3-0 at home. Notably, Aston Villa kept a clean sheet for the first time in five Champions League matches in the second leg. However, the British side failed to score in only three games in this Champions League campaign. This is not the team's first quarter-final in Europe's premier competition; the last time the Birmingham club reached this stage was in 1983, when they were eliminated by Juventus in the European Cup.
- Aston Villa has scored at least three goals in 4 of their last 5 Champions League matches.
- In away matches in the Champions League, the club has shown uncompromising results – 3 wins and 2 losses.
- The English team has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in their last 4 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (4-5-1)
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Ian Maatsen, Tyrone Mings, Lucas Digne – John McGinn, Youri Tielemans, Morgan Rogers, Jacob Ramsey, Marco Asensio – Ollie Watkins.
Referee
Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 41;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 40%.
PSG vs. Aston Villa: Match Prediction
PSG's previous opponent in the Champions League was one of the tournament favorites, but Luis Enrique's side deservedly advanced past Liverpool. Now, another English team stands in PSG's way. In the Premier League, Aston Villa trails the Merseysiders by 22 points.
PSG has been in excellent form in the Champions League, winning 6 of their last 7 matches, and at home, they have not lost in 4 of their last 6 games in this tournament (3 wins, 1 draw). During this period, the club only lost to Atletico and Liverpool, whose level is significantly higher than that of the Birmingham team. Nonetheless, I think the motivated British side can pose problems for the illustrious opponent and aim for a draw.
Both teams are currently performing well in attack. Before their clash with Liverpool, PSG had scored at least three goals in 5 consecutive Champions League matches. Aston Villa, in turn, has demonstrated high scoring ability even away from home, netting 9 times in five away Champions League games.
Considering all these factors, my prediction: PSG will not lose and Total over 2.5 goals
