The Round 17 Serie A fixture between Parma and Fiorentina will take place on 27 December at the Ennio Tardini Stadium. Parma vs Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Parma
In the previous round, Carlos Cuesta's side failed to get a positive result in their home meeting with Lazio (0-1). As a result, Parma have gone without a win in 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches (3 draws, 5 defeats). Moreover, the club failed to score for the eighth time in the current campaign. The team have 14 points and sit 16th in the table. Notably, Parma have the league's weakest attack this season with just 10 goals.
- The club has not won any of their last six home league matches (2 draws, 4 defeats).
- No more than two goals were scored in 8 of the last 11 home league games.
- Parma conceded a maximum of one goal in 8 of their last 11 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineups for Parma (4-3-3)*
Edoardo Corvi – Sasha Britchghi, Emanuele Valeri, Lautaro Valenti, Enrico Del Prato – Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Nahuel Estévez – Mateo Pellegrino, Gaetano Oristanio, Adrian Benedyczak.
First-choice goalkeeper Zion Suzuki, defenders Abdoulaye Ndiaye and Enrico Del Prato, and forward Mattia Frigan will miss the match through injury.
Fiorentina
Paolo Vanoli's side left Udinese with no chance in the last round, running out 5-1 winners at home. Fiorentina snapped a 15-match winless run in the league (6 draws, 9 defeats) and avoided equalling the club's negative record. At the same time, the team have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 11 Serie A matches. The club remain bottom of the table with nine points. Notably, Fiorentina — along with Udinese — have the league's worst defence this season, conceding 27 goals.
- The team have not won any of their last eight away Serie A matches (4 draws, 4 defeats).
- The club have conceded at least twice in five of their previous away league games.
- Fiorentina scored more than once in only 1 of their last 8 away matches in Serie A.
Predicted lineups for Fiorentina (3-5-2)*
David De Gea – Luca Ranieri, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic – Dodô, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Sher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi – Moise Kean, Albert Gudmundsson.
Defenders Pablo Mari, Robin Gosens and Tarik Lamptey, and midfielder Jacopo Fazzini will miss the game through injury. Defender Luca Ranieri is suspended.
Referee
Marco Guida (Italy)
Matches – 6 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 67%.
Parma vs Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Even with home support, Parma often struggle to be effective in attack. In their last 11 home Serie A matches the side only managed to score more than once on two occasions, while in six of those games they failed to score at all. Conversely, they can be relatively solid defensively at home: Parma conceded no more than one goal in 8 of their last 11 home league fixtures.
Fiorentina frequently encounter problems breaking down opponents away from home. In their last 11 away league games they only managed to score more than once on two occasions, and failed to score in five of those matches. Additionally, in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings at Parma's ground in the league, Fiorentina scored no more than one goal.
I do not expect a high-scoring encounter, so my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
* Each team's starting lineup is taken from their previous match in this competition.