The Matchday 6 Serie A encounter between Parma and Lecce will be held on October 4 at the Ennio Tardini Stadium. Parma vs. Lecce: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Parma
In the previous round, Carlos Cuesta's side triumphed over Torino at home (2-1). This victory marked Parma's first win in the current Serie A season (2 draws, 2 losses). Moreover, the team managed to score more than one goal for the first time this championship. They have accumulated five points and climbed to the 14th position in the standings.
- The club has not lost in 7 of their last 8 home matches in Serie A (3 wins, 4 draws).
- The team has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 home encounters in the league.
- Parma has not conceded more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 home games in Serie A.
Projected lineup for Parma (3-5-2)
Zion Suzuki – Alessandro Circati, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Enrico Del Prato – Sacha Bricchi, Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Gaetano Oristanio, Emanuele Valeri – Matteo Pellegrino, Patrick Cutrone.
Defender Lautaro Valenti and forwards Jakub Ondrejka and Matija Frigan will miss out due to injuries.
Lecce
Eusebio Di Francesco's men shared the spoils with Bologna at home in the last round (2-2). As a result, the team avoided defeat for the first time in four league matches, yet they remain winless in the current Serie A campaign (2 draws, 3 losses). They are at the bottom of the standings with two points. Notably, Lecce has conceded ten goals this season, placing them among the two worst teams alongside Torino in this regard.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 9 away matches in Serie A (4 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has scored exactly one goal in 6 of their last 7 away games in the league.
- Lecce has not conceded more than one goal in 7 of their last 10 away matches in Serie A.
Projected lineup for Lecce (4-5-1)
Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Thiago Gabriel, Kialonda Gaspar, Krist-Owen Kouassi – Tete Morente, Lassana Coulibaly, Medon Berisha, Ylber Ramadani, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Stulic.
Referee
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches – 20 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction: Parma vs. Lecce
Even on home turf, Parma rarely avoids defensive mistakes and concedes regularly. In their last 26 home Serie A matches, the team has managed only three clean sheets, and in 12 instances during this span, they have conceded at least two goals. Furthermore, in the current championship, Parma has only kept a clean sheet against league newcomers Cremonese.
Lecce, while not highly prolific, scores regularly on the road. In their last seven away Serie A encounters, the club has only failed to breach the defense of Genoa, and during this period, they have scored against opponents like Juventus, Atalanta, and Lazio. Additionally, last season the team netted three goals in a head-to-head match with Parma on their turf.
I anticipate at least one goal from the visitors in this match, and my prediction: Lecce Individual Total Over 0.5
