The Matchday 5 fixture of the 2025/26 Europa League between Porto (Portugal) and Nice (France) will be held on November 27 at the Estádio do Dragão. Porto vs. Nice: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Porto
After securing two hard-fought victories at the start of the current Europa League season, the team has slowed down, gaining only one point from the last two matches—Porto lost to Nottingham Forest (0-2) and then drew with Utrecht (1-1). As a result, Francesco Farioli's side has dropped to 14th place in the overall standings. The Portuguese side has failed to keep a clean sheet in three consecutive Europa League matches, but it's worth noting that they have scored in six of their last seven games in this competition. Additionally, their only home match in the current Europa League campaign ended with a win over Red Star (2-1), and overall, Porto has not lost in five of their last six home matches in this tournament (3 wins, 2 draws).
- No more than two goals were scored in seven of the club's last nine Europa League matches.
- The team has conceded in 11 of their last 13 home games in this competition.
- Porto has scored a maximum of one goal in six of their last eight Europa League matches.
Predicted lineup for Porto (4-3-3)
Diogo Costa – Martim Fernandes, Jan Bednarek, Zaidu Sanusi, Dominik Prpic – Pablo Rosario, Gabriel Veiga, Stephen Eustáquio – Pepe Aquino, Borja Sainz, Deniz Gül.
Main defender Jan Bednarek is recovering from an injury.
Nice
Franck Haise's side remains one of the two teams yet to earn a point in the current Europa League season. Besides Nice, only Rangers face similar issues. The French team has suffered seven defeats in their last eight matches in this competition, and their winless streak extends to 16 games (3 draws, 13 losses). They have conceded in all 16 matches, but only failed to score in three of them during this period. Ahead of their trip to Portugal, Nice has scored in five consecutive Europa League matches. Notably, they have conceded a total of nine goals in this tournament, with only Young Boys conceding more (10 goals).
- The French side has lost 12 consecutive away matches in the Europa League.
- Both teams scored in eight of Nice's last nine matches in this competition.
- At least three goals were scored in seven of the team's last nine Europa League matches.
Predicted lineup for Nice (3-4-3)
Yehvann Diouf – Antoine Mendy, Djuma Ba, Melvin Bard – Salis Abdul Samed, Ali Abdi, Charles Vanhoutte, Tiago Gouveia – Jérémie Boga, Sofiane Diop, Kevin Omoruyi.
Defenders Dante and Moïse Bombito are injured. Another defender, Jonathan Clauss, has served his suspension. The participation of midfielder Sofiane Diop is in doubt.
Referee
Matej Jug (Slovenia)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 21;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 20%.
Porto vs. Nice: Match Prediction
Porto has won only two of their first four Europa League matches, both times securing three points with late goals. They have not won by a comfortable margin of two goals in eight consecutive matches in this tournament. At home, the Portuguese side generally performs better than away, but often lacks the resilience needed. Even at home, they have won by more than one goal in only two of their last 18 Europa League matches.
Nice has yet to earn a point in the current Europa League season, with their winless streak extending to 16 matches (3 draws, 13 losses). However, the team regularly fights and maintains suspense until the final whistle. In 12 of these 16 games, the French side either secured a draw or lost by a narrow margin. They have suffered 12 consecutive away defeats in the Europa League, but only lost by more than one goal in two of these 12 matches.
We are likely to witness another closely contested game involving the French club. Prediction – Nice with a handicap (+1.5)
