The second leg of the 2025/26 Europa League round of 16 tie between Porto (Portugal) and Stuttgart (Germany) will take place on 19 March at the Dragao Stadium. The score in the first leg was 2:1 in favour of Porto. Porto vs Stuttgart: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Porto
By beating the Germans 2:1 in the first leg, Francesco Farioli's side extended their unbeaten run in the Europa League to six matches (4 wins, 2 draws). However, the team have kept a clean sheet just once during this spell. The Portuguese have been scoring freely, finding the net at least twice in four of their last five Europa League matches. To progress, the club simply need to avoid defeat in the return leg. In the current edition of the competition, Porto have only one away defeat.
- Both teams have scored in five of the team's last six Europa League matches.
- On home soil in this tournament, the Portuguese have won four in a row.
- The club have not conceded more than one goal across eight home matches in the Europa League.
Potential Porto Lineup (4-3-3)*
Diogo Costa – Jan Bednarek, Zaidu Sanusi, Thiago Silva, Alberto Costa – Seko Fofana, Rodrigo Mora, Pablo Rosario – Borja Sainz, William Gomes, Terem Moffi.
Forwards Samu Agehova, Luuk de Jong and midfielder Tomas Perez will miss out through injury.
Stuttgart
For the second time in the current edition of the tournament, the Germans have suffered back-to-back defeats. After the first such spell, Sebastian Hoeness's men responded with a three-match winning run. Stuttgart need to win again now. The team will advance directly to the quarter-finals if they win by at least a two-goal margin. If the Germans beat the Portuguese by a one-goal margin, extra time will be required. It is also worth noting that the Germans have conceded in five straight Europa League matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in five of Stuttgart's previous seven Europa League matches.
- The club have not drawn any of their last 10 away matches in this tournament (5 wins, 5 defeats).
- At least one of the teams failed to score in five of the team's last seven away Europa League games.
Potential Stuttgart Lineup (4-3-3)*
Alexander Nubel – Nicolas Nartey, Ramon Hendriks, Finn Jeltsch, Julian Chabot – Atakan Karazor, Angelo Stiller, Bilal El Khannouss – Ermedin Demirovic, Deniz Undav, Jamie Leweling.
Defenders Luka-Jannis Kilian, Timo Hubers, Dan-Axel Zagadou and Josha Vagnoman will miss the game through injury.
Referee
Anthony Taylor (England)
Matches – 10 (international fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match on average – 21;
Penalties – 30%.
Porto vs Stuttgart: Match Prediction
It will be difficult for the Germans to turn this tie around. Stuttgart's away results in the Europa League have not been impressive, while Porto have looked excellent at home. Even so, Sebastian Hoeness's side will fight for their chance to reach the quarter-finals. To do that, the club need goals, and the Germans have managed to score in six of their previous eight Europa League matches. Moreover, Stuttgart have scored at least twice in five of those games. However, a defence that has not been especially reliable will be even more vulnerable.
The Portuguese do not need to force the issue and can calmly look to catch the visitors on the counter-attack. Francesco Farioli's men are on a six-match scoring run in the Europa League, and in every home match this season the team have scored at least twice. However, under Stuttgart pressure, the hosts could start making mistakes. After all, even less-fancied opponents have found the net against Porto, and even at home the club have conceded in five of their last six matches in this tournament.
Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI shown is from their previous match in this tournament.