The matchday 25 Bundesliga fixture between Leipzig and Augsburg will take place on 7 March at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs Augsburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Leipzig
Leipzig have been picking up points for a fourth straight match and, thanks to that, still retain hopes of qualifying for European competition next season. As things stand, the club sit fifth in the table on 44 points. In the last round, Ole Werner's side managed to come from behind to beat Hamburg 2:1, but overall the team's performances remain fairly mediocre, even despite the results from their last four matches (two wins, two draws). In addition, Leipzig are the lowest scorers among the top five sides (46 goals), and they have also conceded the most among the top six in the competition (33).
- In their last five home league matches, Leipzig have recorded one win (two defeats, two draws).
- The team have scored in every home game of the current Bundesliga season.
- Both teams have scored in the club's previous six matches in this competition.
Potential Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Maarten Vandevoordt – David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orban, Ridle Baku – Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Brajan Gruda – Antonio Nusa, Romulo Cruz, Yan Diomande
Defender Kosta Nedeljkovic, forward Ayodele Thomas, Johan Bakayoko, goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and midfielder Assan Ouedraogo, Viggo Gebel are injured.
Augsburg
Thanks to a three-match winning run, Augsburg have been able to move up the standings and currently sit ninth on 31 points. However, this successful spell came against teams from the lower part of the table, and in the last round Manuel Baum's side beat Koln 2:0. Despite those results, there is no talk of the European places: the gap to that zone is 12 points. It is also worth highlighting their defending, as the team are among the five clubs with the worst defensive records in the league, having already conceded 41 goals.
- Across 11 away matches in the 2025/26 season, Augsburg have recorded only three wins (one draw, seven defeats).
- The club have conceded in every away match in the current league campaign.
- The team have not scored more than two goals in 17 of their last 18 matches in this Bundesliga season.
Potential Augsburg Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Finn Dahmen – Noakai Banks, Kevin Schlotterbeck, Cedric Zesiger – Robin Fellhauer, Han-Noah Massengo, Kristijan Jakic, Fabian Rieder – Mert Komur, Alexis Claude-Maurice – Rodrigo Ribeiro
Defenders Chrislain Matsima, Jeffrey Gouweleeu, Chrislain Matsima, Chrislain Matsima and midfielders Kristijan Jakic, Robin Fellhauer, Yannik Keitel will be unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Martin Petersen (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 29%.
Leipzig vs Augsburg: Match Prediction
The battle for European places is tight this season, and no team, including Leipzig, are going to give up ground easily. If we look at the club's upcoming schedule, it becomes clear that most of the matches will be fairly difficult. However, a meeting with Augsburg can hardly be classed among them. In the first half of the season, Leipzig gave their opponents no chance away from home, thrashing them 6:0. That result once again shows how Augsburg operate defensively. What is more, the visitors have conceded in every away match this season, including against the side with the weakest attack in the league. Going forward, the picture looks a little better: after 24 rounds, Augsburg have scored 30 goals, which puts them in the top 10 teams in the competition by that metric.
It would also be hard to say Leipzig defend reliably. Among the top six teams in the league, they have conceded the most. In addition, across the last six matches the team have conceded nine goals and have not kept a clean sheet once. Moreover, in one of those matches Leipzig, just like their opponents, conceded twice against a club from the lower part of the standings. Even so, we still favour the hosts in this matchup. The team still have a chance of reaching the European places, and to do so they need to pick up points, especially in matches like this. It is worth noting that Augsburg have scored in seven of their last eight matches, while Leipzig have scored in every home match of the current season. With these factors in mind, our pick is Both teams to score + Leipzig, double chance.
Prediction: Both teams to score + Leipzig, double chance
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this competition is listed.
