The Matchday 32 Bundesliga encounter between Leipzig and Bayern will take place on May 2 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Bayern: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leipzig
In the previous round, the team suffered a heavy 0-4 away defeat to Eintracht. This was Leipzig's first loss in their last four Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 1 draw), yet their streak of conceding goals has now reached five games. In the standings, Zsolt Löw's side has dropped to fifth place, two points behind the Champions League spots. Notably, the club has kept 13 clean sheets this season, second only to Bayern's 14.
- Leipzig has not lost in 8 of their last 9 home Bundesliga matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
- In 7 of their last 9 home league games, the team has scored at least two goals.
- At home, the club has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (4-5-1)
Maarten Vandevoordt – Lukas Klostermann, Kosta Nedelkovic, Castello Lukeba, El Chadaille Bitshiabu – Bote Baku, Lutsharel Geertruida, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Xavi Simons – Benjamin Sesko.
Defender Benjamin Henrichs, goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi, and midfielder Xaver Schlager are injured. Defender El Chadaille Bitshiabu is suspended.
Bayern
The Munich side moved closer to the championship with a 3-0 win over Mainz in the last round. To secure the title, they only need a point in the upcoming match. Under Vincent Kompany, Bayern is on a six-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga (4 wins, 2 draws), scoring at least two goals in five of these games. Overall, the club has scored 90 goals this season, 24 more than their nearest rival.
- Bayern has conceded in 6 of their last 8 league matches.
- The team has won 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga games (2 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of Bayern's last 9 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Bayern (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Josip Stanisic, Eric Dier, Joshua Kimmich, Kim Min-jae – Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Leroy Sane, Konrad Laimer, Aleksandar Pavlovic – Harry Kane.
Midfielder Jamal Musiala and defenders Alphonso Davies, Hiroki Ito, and Raphael Guerreiro are injured. Forward Harry Kane will miss the match due to yellow card accumulation.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 15 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 33%.
Leipzig vs. Bayern: Match Prediction
There is a temptation for the Munich side to delay their championship triumph until a home game. However, I am confident that Vincent Kompany's team will aim to secure the title in the upcoming round, although it won't be easy against Leipzig. Bayern's attack remains formidable, having scored in 9 consecutive matches in this tournament, with only one game in this stretch seeing them score fewer than two goals. However, their defense continues to make mistakes, conceding 10 goals during this period.
Leipzig is focused on their own objectives and will be highly motivated to challenge their fierce rivals. At home, the team has shown strong performances, avoiding defeat in 8 of their last 9 league matches. Leipzig plays attacking football, scoring at least two goals in 7 matches during this period. With such attacking prowess, they can pose significant problems for Bayern's unreliable defense. Additionally, Leipzig has not lost to Bayern in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga home encounters.
Leipzig is capable of taking points off Munich in a high-scoring match. My prediction: Leipzig to avoid defeat and Total Over 2.5 goals
