The Matchday 32 Bundesliga clash between Leipzig and Bayern Munich will take place on May 2 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leipzig
In the previous round, the team suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat away to Eintracht. This was Leipzig's first loss in their last four Bundesliga matches (2 wins, 1 draw). However, the club has now conceded goals in five consecutive games. In the standings, Zsolt Löw's side has dropped to fifth place, trailing the Champions League zone by two points. Notably, the club has kept 13 clean sheets this season, second only to Bayern Munich's 14.
- Leipzig has not lost in 8 of their last 9 home Bundesliga matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
- In 7 of their last 9 home games in the league, the team has scored at least two goals.
- At home, the club conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (4-5-1)
Maarten Vandevoordt – Lukas Klostermann, Kosta Nedelkovic, Castello Lukeba, El Chadaille Bitshiabu – Bote Baku, Lutsharel Geertruida, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Xavi Simons – Benjamin Sesko.
Defender Benjamin Henrichs, goalkeeper Péter Gulácsi, and midfielder Xaver Schlager are injured. Defender El Chadaille Bitshiabu is suspended.
Bayern Munich
The Munich side moved closer to the championship with a 3-0 victory over Mainz in the previous round. To secure another title, the team only needs to earn one point in the upcoming match (Leverkusen cannot overcome Bayern's goal difference advantage). Vincent Kompany's side is on a six-match unbeaten run in the Bundesliga (4 wins, 2 draws), scoring at least two goals in five of those games. Overall, the club has already scored 90 goals – 24 more than their nearest rival.
- The Munich side has conceded in 6 of their last 8 league matches.
- The team has won 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga games (2 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 8 of Bayern's last 9 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Bayern Munich (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Josip Stanišić, Eric Dier, Joshua Kimmich, Kim Min-jae – Serge Gnabry, Michael Olise, Leroy Sané, Konrad Laimer, Alexander Pavlovic – Harry Kane.
Midfielder Jamal Musiala and defenders Alphonso Davies, Hiroki Ito, and Raphaël Guerreiro are injured. Forward Harry Kane will miss the match due to yellow card accumulation.
Referee
Felix Zwayer (Germany)
Matches – 15 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 33%.
Prediction for Leipzig vs. Bayern Munich
There is a strong temptation for the Munich side to delay their championship triumph until a home match. However, I am confident that Vincent Kompany’s team will aim to resolve this in the upcoming round, although it won’t be easy against Leipzig. Notably, the team's attack remains formidable: Munich has scored in their last nine matches in this tournament, and only once in this stretch did they score fewer than two goals. Yet, Bayern's defense continues to make mistakes, conceding 10 goals over this period.
Leipzig is pursuing its own goals, and the hosts will surely want to challenge a key rival, so Zsolt Löw's side will be fully motivated. The team has shown good results at home, not losing in 8 of their last 9 league matches. Leipzig plays attacking football, scoring at least two goals in 7 of these games. With such attacking prowess, they can pose significant problems for Munich's unreliable defense. Additionally, Leipzig has not lost to Bayern in 5 of their last 7 home Bundesliga encounters.
Leipzig can take points from Munich in a high-scoring match. My prediction: Leipzig will not lose and Total over 2.5 goals
* The lineup for each team is based on their previous match in this tournament.