The Matchday 23 Bundesliga fixture between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund will take place on 21 February at the Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
RB Leipzig
Ole Werner's men were unable to break down Wolfsburg at home last time out, drawing 2:2. As a result, RB Leipzig have failed to win three of their last four league matches (two draws, one defeat), and they have been unable to keep a clean sheet in any game during that spell. The club also have the worst defensive record among the teams in the European places (30 goals conceded). At the same time, RB Leipzig's scoring run in the Bundesliga now stands at 10 matches. The team have dropped to fifth in the standings, with an 11-point gap to the side above them.
- Both teams scored in five of the club's last six Bundesliga matches.
- On home soil, RB Leipzig have failed to win four of their last five league games (one draw, three defeats).
- At least three goals were scored in five of the team's last six home matches in this tournament.
Potential RB Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Peter Gulacsi – Max Finkgrafe, Nicolas Seiwald, Willi Orban, Benjamin Henrichs – Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Brajan Gruda – Konrad Harder, Antonio Nusa, Yan Diomande.
Forward Johan Bakayoko, goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and midfielder Assan Ouedraogo are injured.
Borussia Dortmund
Last round's win over Mainz (4:0) was Borussia Dortmund's sixth straight victory in the Bundesliga. During that run, the away side have shown strong attacking output, scoring at least two goals in each match. With 47 goals overall, Borussia Dortmund trail only Bayern Munich (82). And while catching the Munich side on goals is unlikely, their chances of doing so in the standings are much better, with the gap to the leaders just six points.
- The team are unbeaten in 15 league matches (11 wins, four draws).
- Borussia Dortmund have conceded in five of their previous six away Bundesliga matches.
- Borussia Dortmund have opened the scoring in their last seven away games in this tournament.
Potential Borussia Dortmund Lineup (3-5-2)*
Gregor Kobel – Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Jobe Bellingham, Felix Nmecha, Julian Brandt, Daniel Svensson, Julian Ryerson – Maximilian Beier, Serhou Guirassy.
Defender Filippo Mane is injured.
Referee
Benjamin Brand (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 0;
Fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 20%.
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
It is hard to favour either side in this upcoming contest. RB Leipzig have done well against Borussia Dortmund, avoiding defeat in seven of the last nine league head-to-heads (six wins, one draw), but Ole Werner's men are far from their best at the moment. The team have won just one of their last four Bundesliga matches. Borussia Dortmund, meanwhile, have put together a long unbeaten run in the league, but the club also have the extra workload of the Champions League. At the same time, they cannot afford to let Bayern Munich pull away. In this situation, it is worth focusing on the goals market, as each opponent will be determined to take all three points.
In their last six Bundesliga matches, RB Leipzig have managed to keep only bottom club Heidenheim quiet. At the same time, Ole Werner's men are on a 10-match scoring streak in the league. Borussia Dortmund last scored fewer than two goals back in Matchday 14. Defensively, Borussia Dortmund have also allowed plenty, conceding in five of their previous six away games in this tournament.
It is also worth adding that both teams scored in five of the last six league meetings between these sides. That is another factor in favour of the bet.
Prediction: Both teams to score - Yes
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this tournament.