The Round 17 match of the Bundesliga between RB Leipzig and Freiburg will take place on 14 January at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig vs Freiburg: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig missed the previous round. Before that, the team lost at home to Bayer Leverkusen and away to Union Berlin by the same score of 1:3. Notably, this was the first time in the current championship that RB Leipzig lost two matches in a row. Moreover, in the last four Bundesliga matches the club has won only once. Despite these results, the team remains in third place in the table, although it leads the nearest chaser only on tiebreakers. At the same time, by home results RB Leipzig ranks second in the league.
- At least four goals were scored in six of the team's eight previous league games.
- At home the club has won six of its last seven matches in this competition (1 defeat).
- In eight of the nine previous Bundesliga home matches RB Leipzig scored at least twice.
Potential RB Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Péter Gulácsi – David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orban, Kosta Nedelkovic – Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald – Rómulo, Konrad Harder, Tidiam Gomis.
Freiburg
In the last round Freiburg beat Hamburg 2:1 at home. The team is unbeaten in three league matches (2 wins, 1 draw), and its scoring run in this competition has reached seven matches. However, the club has conceded in four consecutive Bundesliga-2025/26 matches for the first time, and Freiburg has let in 27 goals overall; among teams from the top half of the table only Eintracht have a worse figure (33). In the main standings the team sits in eighth place, four points off the European zone.
- Freiburg scored at least twice in five of their seven previous league games.
- Away from home the club has failed to win in five of its last six Bundesliga matches (2 draws, 3 defeats).
- There was a goal in both halves in seven of Freiburg's nine previous away matches in this competition.
Potential Freiburg Lineup (4-5-1)*
Noah Atubolu – Lukas Kubler, Matthias Ginter, Christian Gunter, Philipp Lienhart – Johan Manzambi, Vincenzo Grifo, Yuito Suzuki, Maximilian Eggestein, Philipp Treu – Lukas Höler.
Midfielder Daniel-Kofi Kyere will not play due to injury.
Referee
Robert Hartmann (Germany)
Matches – 6 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 24;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 4;
Red Cards Shown – 1;
Fouls Average Per Match – 24;
Penalty Rate – 17%.
RB Leipzig vs Freiburg: Match Prediction
Since the start of the current championship RB Leipzig had an impressive run of six home wins, which Bayer broke. Losing to an opponent of that level is not shameful, while RB Leipzig should take three points against this opponent. Moreover, the hosts beat Freiburg in seven of the last nine head-to-head home meetings in the Bundesliga (2 draws). And the visitors are currently unstable.
Freiburg, coached by Julian Schuster, have won two matches in a row in the Bundesliga-2025/26 only for the second time, but their recent opponents were Hamburg and Wolfsburg, teams located close to the relegation zone. The victory over Wolfsburg was Freiburg's first in six previous away games in this competition (2 draws, 3 defeats).
An additional factor in favor of the high-scoring RB Leipzig will be the visitors' defensive problems. Freiburg are among the six worst teams for goals conceded, and in the last three league away games 11 goals have been scored against them.
Prediction: RB Leipzig To Win
* The starting lineup for each team is from its previous match in this competition.
