La Liga
23rd tour
Real Madrid
MATCH FINISHED
8 Feb
1
:
1
Atlético Madrid

Match stats

Logo Real Madrid Logo Atletico Madrid
60 Ball possession (%) 40
23 Goal attempts 10
9 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 7
7 Blocked shots 2

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid: prediction & betting odds 8 Feb 2025

The Matchday 23 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid will take place on February 8 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Real Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti's side suffered a shocking defeat to Espanyol (0-1) in the last round. Before that, the club was unbeaten in six consecutive league matches, securing five wins and one draw. Notably, the capital team failed to score for only the second time in this season's La Liga. Real remains in the lead, but their gap over Atletico has narrowed to a minimum, with Barcelona four points behind.

Defenders David Alaba, Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are sidelined due to injuries. The participation of forward Kylian Mbappe and midfielder Jude Bellingham is in doubt.

  • At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Real's last 8 La Liga games.
  • The club has won 29 of their last 34 home league matches (4 draws and 1 defeat).
  • The team has not conceded in the first half in 11 of their last 13 home La Liga matches.

Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)

Thibaut Courtois – Aurelien Tchouameni, Lucas Vazquez, Fran Garcia, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos – Vinicius Junior, Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo Goes – Kylian Mbappe.

Atletico Madrid

The team ended a brief winless streak in La Liga, during which they lost to Leganes (0-1) and drew with Villarreal (1-1). In the last round, the Madrid side defeated Mallorca (2-0) at home. Thanks to Real's slip-up, Diego Simeone's team has closed the gap to just one point. Notably, Atletico's defense remains the best in the league, conceding only 14 goals.

Defender Robin Le Normand will miss the derby due to yellow card accumulation. Defender Javi Galan is out with an injury.

  • No more than three goals have been scored in Atletico's last six La Liga matches.
  • The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 8 of Atletico's last 9 away La Liga games.
  • The club has won the second half in 10 of their last 11 league matches.

Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)

Jan Oblak – Reinildo Mandava, Robin Le Normand, Marcos Llorente, Clement Lenglet – Pablo Barrios, Koke, Giuliano Simeone, Samuel Lino – Alexander Sorloth, Julian Alvarez.

Referee

Cesar Soto Grado (Spain)

Matches – 12 (La Liga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;

Red cards shown – 4;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 8%.

Real Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid: Match Prediction

The upcoming match is unlikely to be high-scoring, as the stakes are high, and any mistake could significantly diminish their chances of winning the championship. Therefore, I expect both teams to focus primarily on defense, a strategy Atletico excels at. Diego Simeone's side has conceded more than one goal only once on the road in this La Liga season, and they haven't scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 away league matches.

Madrid derbies are rarely high-scoring affairs. Three or more goals have been scored in only two of the last 11 La Liga meetings. At the Santiago Bernabeu, neither team has scored more than two goals in nine consecutive league encounters. I believe this trend will continue, as even a single goal could decide the outcome. I think both clubs will avoid taking risks and attacking in large numbers.

My prediction – Total under 2.5 goals

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS

La Liga: previous matches of the tournament

Real Madrid
01.02.25
Espanyol
Real Madrid
L
25.01.25
Valladolid
Real Madrid
W
19.01.25
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
W
03.01.25
Valencia
Real Madrid
W
22.12.24
Real Madrid
Sevilla
W
14.12.24
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
D
07.12.24
Girona
Real Madrid
W
04.12.24
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
L
01.12.24
Real Madrid
Getafe
W
24.11.24
Leganés
Real Madrid
W
09.11.24
Real Madrid
Osasuna
W
26.10.24
Real Madrid
Barcelona
L
19.10.24
Celta
Real Madrid
W
05.10.24
Real Madrid
Villarreal
W
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
24.09.24
Real Madrid
Alavés
W
21.09.24
Real Madrid
Espanyol
W
14.09.24
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
W
01.09.24
Real Madrid
Real Betis
W
29.08.24
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
D
25.08.24
Real Madrid
Valladolid
W
18.08.24
Mallorca
Real Madrid
D
More matches
Atlético Madrid
01.02.25
Atlético Madrid
Mallorca
W
25.01.25
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
D
18.01.25
Leganés
Atlético Madrid
L
12.01.25
Atlético Madrid
Osasuna
W
21.12.24
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
W
15.12.24
Atlético Madrid
Getafe
W
08.12.24
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla
W
30.11.24
Valladolid
Atlético Madrid
W
23.11.24
Atlético Madrid
Alavés
W
10.11.24
Mallorca
Atlético Madrid
W
03.11.24
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas
W
27.10.24
Real Betis
Atlético Madrid
L
20.10.24
Atlético Madrid
Leganés
W
06.10.24
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid
D
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
26.09.24
Celta
Atlético Madrid
W
22.09.24
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
D
15.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Valencia
W
31.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Atlético Madrid
W
28.08.24
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol
D
25.08.24
Atlético Madrid
Girona
W
19.08.24
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
D
More matches

H2H: Real Madrid — Atlético Madrid

La Liga 2024-2025
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
La Liga 2023-2024
04.02.24
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
Copa del Rey 2023-2024
18.01.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
2
:
2
2
:
0
OT
Super Cup Spain 2023-2024
10.01.24
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
3
:
3
2
:
0
OT
La Liga 2023-2024
24.09.23
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
La Liga 2022-2023
25.02.23
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
Copa del Rey 2022-2023
26.01.23
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
2
:
0
OT
La Liga 2022-2023
18.09.22
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
La Liga 2021-2022
08.05.22
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
12.12.21
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2020-2021
07.03.21
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
12.12.20
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2019-2020
01.02.20
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
Super Cup Spain 2020
12.01.20
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
0
:
0
0
:
0
OT
4
:
1
P
La Liga 2019-2020
28.09.19
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
Champions Cup 2019
27.07.19
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
3
:
7
La Liga 2018-2019
09.02.19
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
29.09.18
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
UEFA Super Cup 2018
15.08.18
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
2
0
:
2
OT
La Liga 2017-2018
08.04.18
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
18.11.17
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
Champions League 2016-2017
10.05.17
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
02.05.17
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2016-2017
08.04.17
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
19.11.16
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
Champions League 2015-2016
28.05.16
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
5
:
3
P
La Liga 2015-2016
27.02.16
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
04.10.15
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
Champions League 2014-2015
22.04.15
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
14.04.15
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
La Liga 2014-2015
07.02.15
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
Copa del Rey 2014-2015
15.01.15
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
2
07.01.15
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
2
:
0
La Liga 2014-2015
13.09.14
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
Super Cup Spain 2014
23.08.14
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
1
:
0
20.08.14
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
Champions League 2013-2014
23.05.14
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
3
:
0
OT
La Liga 2013-2014
01.03.14
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
2
:
2
Copa del Rey 2013-2014
12.02.14
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
0
:
2
05.02.14
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
3
:
0
La Liga 2013-2014
27.09.13
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
0
:
1
La Liga 2012-2013
26.04.13
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
1
:
2
30.11.12
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
0
La Liga 2011-2012
10.04.12
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
1
:
4
25.11.11
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
4
:
1
La Liga 2010-2011
19.03.11
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
1
:
2
07.11.10
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
0
La Liga 2009-2010
28.03.10
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
3
:
2
07.11.09
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
2
:
3
La Liga 2008-2009
07.03.09
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
17.10.08
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
1
:
2
La Liga 2007-2008
20.01.08
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
0
:
2
24.08.07
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
1
La Liga 2006-2007
24.02.07
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
1
:
1
30.09.06
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
La Liga 2005-2006
04.03.06
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
1
14.10.05
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
0
:
3
La Liga 2004-2005
20.05.05
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
0
:
0
09.01.05
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
0
:
3
La Liga 2003-2004
17.04.04
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
1
:
2
03.12.03
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
0
La Liga 2002-2003
15.06.03
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
0
:
4
19.01.03
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
2
:
2
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
30 21 4 5 83:29 67
2
Real Madrid
30 19 6 5 63:31 63
3
Atlético Madrid
30 17 9 4 49:24 60
4
Athletic Bilbao
30 14 12 4 46:24 54
5
Villarreal
29 13 9 7 51:39 48
6
Real Betis
30 13 9 8 41:37 48
7
Celta
30 12 7 11 44:43 43
8
Real Sociedad
30 12 5 13 30:32 41
9
Rayo Vallecano
30 10 10 10 33:35 40
10
Mallorca
30 11 7 12 29:37 40
11
Getafe
30 10 9 11 30:25 39
12
Sevilla
30 9 9 12 34:41 36
13
Osasuna
30 7 14 9 34:43 35
14
Valencia
30 8 10 12 34:47 34
15
Girona
30 9 7 14 37:46 34
16
Espanyol
29 8 8 13 31:40 32
17
Alavés
30 7 9 14 33:44 30
18
Leganés
30 6 10 14 29:47 28
19
Las Palmas
30 6 8 16 34:51 26
20
Valladolid
30 4 4 22 19:69 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Madrid
15 12 1 2 37:16 37
2
Barcelona
15 11 1 3 41:11 34
3
Atlético Madrid
15 10 4 1 27:12 34
4
Athletic Bilbao
15 8 6 1 27:9 30
5
Celta
15 9 3 3 25:15 30
6
Real Betis
15 8 5 2 24:16 29
7
Osasuna
15 6 6 3 26:22 24
8
Valencia
15 7 3 5 21:18 24
9
Espanyol
15 6 6 3 19:16 24
10
Real Sociedad
15 7 2 6 17:15 23
11
Mallorca
16 6 5 5 17:18 23
12
Villarreal
14 5 6 3 29:21 21
13
Girona
15 6 3 6 25:22 21
14
Rayo Vallecano
15 5 5 5 20:23 20
15
Getafe
15 4 7 4 13:11 19
16
Sevilla
15 5 4 6 13:18 19
17
Leganés
15 5 3 7 16:23 18
18
Alavés
14 4 4 6 11:15 16
19
Las Palmas
15 3 5 7 18:24 14
20
Valladolid
15 3 4 8 8:25 13
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
15 10 3 2 42:18 33
2
Villarreal
15 8 3 4 22:18 27
3
Real Madrid
15 7 5 3 26:15 26
4
Atlético Madrid
15 7 5 3 22:12 26
5
Athletic Bilbao
15 6 6 3 19:15 24
6
Getafe
15 6 2 7 17:14 20
7
Rayo Vallecano
15 5 5 5 13:12 20
8
Real Betis
15 5 4 6 17:21 19
9
Real Sociedad
15 5 3 7 13:17 18
10
Sevilla
15 4 5 6 21:23 17
11
Mallorca
14 5 2 7 12:19 17
12
Alavés
16 3 5 8 22:29 14
13
Celta
15 3 4 8 19:28 13
14
Girona
15 3 4 8 12:24 13
15
Las Palmas
15 3 3 9 16:27 12
16
Osasuna
15 1 8 6 8:21 11
17
Leganés
15 1 7 7 13:24 10
18
Valencia
15 1 7 7 13:29 10
19
Espanyol
14 2 2 10 12:24 8
20
Valladolid
15 1 0 14 11:44 3

Team lineups

Real Madrid

C. Ancelotti
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Thibaut Сourtois
gk. 20 -18
Fran García
df. 18 0
Asencio
df. 11 0
Federico Valverde
mf. 23 5
Lucas Vázquez
mf. 19 1
Aurelien Tchouameni
mf. 18 0
Jude Victor William Bellingham
mf. 18 7
Daniel Ceballos
mf. 14 0
Kylian Mbappé
fw. 21 16
Rodrygo Goes
fw. 20 6
Vinisius Junior
fw. 17 8
Substitutes
Andriy Lunin
gk. 3 -4
Sergio Sanchez
gk. 0 0
Ferland Mendy
df. 12 0
Lorenzo Aguado Herrera
df. 2 0
Jesús Vallejo
df. 1 0
Jacobo Ramón Naveros
df. 0 0
Luka Modrić
mf. 22 1
Brahim Díaz
mf. 18 3
Arda Güler
mf. 16 1
Eduardo Camavinga
mf. 9 0
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
fw. 14 1
Gonzalo García Torres
fw. 0 0
Atlético Madrid

D. Simeone
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Jan Oblak
gk. 22 -15
José María Giménez
df. 17 0
Clément Lenglet
df. 13 1
Javi Galán
df. 13 0
Rodrigo De Paul
mf. 21 3
Samuel Dias Lino
mf. 19 3
Marcos Llorente
mf. 18 2
Pablo Barrios Rivas
mf. 18 0
Antoine Griezmann
fw. 23 8
Julián Alvarez
fw. 23 7
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
fw. 18 1
Substitutes
Juan Musso
gk. 1 0
Nahuel Molina Lucero
df. 17 0
Reinildo Mandava
df. 16 0
Axel Witsel
df. 12 0
César Azpilicueta
df. 7 0
Ilias Kostis
df. 0 0
Koke
mf. 22 1
Conor Gallagher
mf. 17 2
Rodrigo Riquelme
mf. 11 0
Tom Lemaire
mf. 1 0
Ángel Correa
fw. 21 2
Alexander Sorloth
fw. 20 8
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