The Matchday 36 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Mallorca will take place on May 14 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Mallorca: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The Madrid side put on a spectacular show in their last away game against Barcelona. However, despite taking a two-goal lead, the capital club eventually lost (3-4). Notably, Kylian Mbappe scored a hat-trick in this match, becoming the first player in the club's history to score such a number of goals against the Catalans, but ultimately lost El Clasico. As a result, the gap from Barcelona increased to seven points, which, with three rounds to go, indicates that Carlo Ancelotti's men will end the season without trophies. The Italian manager will leave Madrid at the end of the season, with Xabi Alonso set to take over the team.
- The team has won 7 of their last 9 league games.
- Both teams have scored in 7 of Real's last 10 La Liga matches.
- Madrid has opened the scoring in 10 of their last 12 Primera Division encounters.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-4-2)
Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asensio, Fran Garcia, Aurelien Tchouameni – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham – Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.
Due to injuries, defenders Lucas Vazquez, David Alaba, Eder Militao, Ferland Mendy, and Dani Carvajal, midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, as well as forwards Rodrygo Goes and Vinicius Junior are out. Defender Antonio Rudiger is suspended for six matches and is also out for two months due to injury. Additionally, midfielder Aurelien Tchouameni will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Mallorca
The islanders have failed to win and score in three consecutive La Liga matches. During this series, the team drew with Leganes (0-0) and lost 0-1 to both Barcelona and Girona. In the last round, they managed to break this unsuccessful streak by defeating Valladolid 2-1 at home. The victory kept their chances of reaching the European competition zone alive. Currently, the team is ninth, trailing the higher-ranked Rayo Vallecano only on additional criteria.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 11 Primera Division matches (4 draws and 4 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of Mallorca's last 11 league matches.
- The islanders have lost only one first half in their last 10 La Liga matches (3 wins and 6 draws).
Predicted lineup for Mallorca (4-5-1)
Dominik Greif – Martin Valjent, Antonio Raillo, Pablo Maffeo, Johan Mojica – Takuma Asano, Sergi Darder, Daniel Rodriguez, Omar Mascarell, Samu Costa – Vedat Muriqi.
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 18 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.1;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 39%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Mallorca
The capital club had a chance to partially salvage a failed season, but in a direct confrontation with Barcelona, they lost. Notably, Madrid has lost all four El Clasico matches this season (including a defeat in extra time in the Copa del Rey final). After another blow from the Catalans, Real's players are likely not in the best condition, and considering the club has already secured a Champions League spot, they lack motivation for the final three rounds.
The islanders should capitalize on this state of the hosts. Mallorca may not be known for spectacular play, but they are not easy to beat. Jagoba Arrasate's men have not lost by two or more goals in 13 consecutive La Liga matches. Madrid, too, has not been convincing in their victories: in their last 10 league games, they have won seven times by a narrow margin and lost three times. Additionally, in the last four head-to-head encounters in the Primera Division, the islanders have not lost by more than one goal.
My prediction: Mallorca with a handicap (+1.5)
