The Matchday 1 La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Osasuna will take place on August 19 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Osasuna: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
The capital club finished second in the last La Liga season, trailing Barcelona by 4 points. They had a chance to overtake the Catalans, but in the 35th round, they lost the head-to-head clash (3-4). Notably, this defeat was Real's only loss in their last 8 league matches (winning the rest). Additionally, in the previous 6 seasons, Real Madrid has consistently finished in the top two positions in the league table. Over the summer, with a new manager, they participated in the Club World Cup, reaching the semi-finals. Following that, Real played a friendly match against Tirol, winning 4-0.
In June, the club appointed Xabi Alonso as the head coach. Midfielder Luka Modric and defender Lucas Vazquez left the team. New additions to the squad include defenders Trent Alexander-Arnold, Alvaro Carreras, and Dean Donny Huijsen, as well as forward Franco Mastantuono.
- The club scored first in 7 of their last 8 La Liga matches.
- Real Madrid won 7 of their last 8 home games in the league.
- No more than 3 goals were scored in 7 of Real Madrid's last 9 home La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Thibaut Courtois – Alvaro Carreras, Dean Donny Huijsen, Eder Militao, Trent Alexander-Arnold – Dani Ceballos, Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler – Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior, Brahim Diaz.
Forward Endrick Felipe, defender Ferland Mendy, and midfielders Eduardo Camavinga and Jude Bellingham are out due to injuries. Defender Antonio Rudiger is serving his sixth and final match suspension.
Osasuna
The team from Pamplona finished last season in 9th place. They narrowly missed out on European competition despite a strong finish to the season (only 1 loss in the last 10 rounds). Osasuna lost out to Rayo Vallecano, who finished 8th, on tiebreakers and secured a spot in the Conference League. Notably, in the 2024/25 La Liga season, Osasuna managed only 2 away victories and became the league's most draw-prone team on the road (10 draws). In preparation for the new season, the club played 6 friendly matches, winning just once (2 draws and 3 losses).
Over the summer, the team appointed a new head coach, Alessio Lisci, previously working in Segunda clubs. The team also signed forward Victor Munoz. Defenders Jesus Areso and Unai Garcia, as well as midfielder Pablo Ibanez, left the club.
- No more than three goals were scored in 10 of Osasuna's last 12 La Liga games.
- Osasuna has not won in 13 of their last 14 away league matches (8 draws and 5 losses).
- The team has scored in their last five away La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Osasuna (4-4-2)
Sergio Herrera – Alejandro Catena, Valentin Rosier, Juan Cruz, Enzo Boyomo – Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torro, Aimar Oroz, Ruben Garcia – Victor Munoz, Ante Budimir.
Real Madrid vs. Osasuna: Match Prediction
The capital club is unbeaten against this opponent in their last 20 La Liga encounters (14 wins and 6 draws). At home, Real Madrid has won 13 of the last 15 league meetings, with 2 draws. Notably, in the last six encounters during this period, Osasuna scored only 1 goal, and their last two visits to Real ended in heavy 0-4 defeats.
I believe Real Madrid will comfortably handle this opponent once again. Real has won 7 of their last 8 home league matches. Meanwhile, Osasuna won only twice away in the last La Liga season and scored just 15 goals on the road (the fewest in the league). It's highly likely that Real will win again without conceding, as Osasuna did not make significant attacking reinforcements in the offseason.
My prediction – Real Madrid to win to nil
