The Matchday 37 clash in Serie A between Roma and AC Milan will take place on May 18 at the Stadio Olimpico. Roma vs. AC Milan: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Roma
Claudio Ranieri's side suffered a 1-2 defeat away to Atalanta in the last round. Consequently, Roma's 19-match unbeaten run in the league (14 wins, 5 draws) came to an end. Additionally, the Romans have scored exactly one goal in each of their last nine Serie A matches. Despite the loss, Roma maintained their position in the league table with 63 points, sitting in sixth place. Note that a defeat could jeopardize their chances of finishing in the top four. Roma boasts the best goal difference in home games this season (+20).
- The team is unbeaten in their last 11 home Serie A matches (9 wins, 2 draws).
- They have scored exactly one or two goals in 6 of their last 7 home league matches.
- Roma has not conceded more than one goal in their last 11 home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Roma (3-4-3)
Mile Svilar – Mehmet Zeki Celik, Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka – Angelino, Manu Kone, Bryan Cristante, Devyne Rensch – Matias Soule, Eldor Shomurodov, Artem Dovbyk.
Midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini and forward Paulo Dybala will miss the match due to injury.
AC Milan
In the previous round, Sergio Conceicao's team defeated Bologna 3-1 at home. This marked only the second time this season that AC Milan secured three consecutive victories. Furthermore, in 5 of their last 6 Serie A matches, the team has scored at least two goals. However, they have failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their last 12 league matches. Milan has accumulated 60 points and climbed to eighth place in the league table. Note that only a victory will keep their hopes of finishing in the top four alive.
- The club has won 4 of their last 5 away Serie A matches.
- The team has scored exactly one or two goals in 6 of their last 8 away league matches.
- Milan has scored in the second half in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.
Predicted lineup for AC Milan (4-5-1)
Mike Maignan – Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Fikayo Tomori, Theo Hernandez – Alejandro Jimenez, Tijjani Reijnders, Christian Pulisic, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Joao Felix – Luka Jovic.
Referee
Marco Piccinini (Italy)
Matches – 15 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction: Roma vs. AC Milan
Roma looks confident at home, and even though they don't exhibit high attacking prowess, they still manage to score regularly. In their last 11 home Serie A matches, Roma has found the net, scoring at least two goals in six of these games. Additionally, in their last six home encounters against Milan in the league, they have breached the visitors' defense.
Sergio Conceicao's side is in excellent form and capable of causing problems for their opponents. At the very least, Milan's attacking play is expected to be of high quality: in 19 of their last away Serie A matches, they have only failed to score once, and in nine of these games, they have scored at least twice. However, Milan's defense is not always reliable: over their last seven away league matches, they have conceded nine goals and kept only two clean sheets.
I believe both teams will effectively showcase their attacking abilities, so my prediction: Both teams to score – yes
* For each team, the starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.