The match of the 18th round of the Serie A between Sassuolo and Parma will take place on 3 january at the Mapei Stadium in Reggio-nel-Emilia. Sassuolo vs Parma: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Sassuolo
Sassuolo drew 1:1 away to Bologna in the last round. The squad has not won in three league matches (two draws, one defeat), and this is the side's longest winless run in the current campaign. At the same time, the team has conceded in six consecutive Serie A games. The squad has conceded 21 goals in total, the worst figure among the teams in the top half of the table, where the side sit ninth.
- The club scored in seven of its nine previous league meetings.
- At home the team has failed to win in four of its last five Serie A matches (one draw, three defeats).
- Sassuolo conceded at least one goal in six consecutive home games in this competition.
Potential Sassuolo Lineup (4-3-3)*
Arijanet Muric – Tarik Muharemovic, Fali Candé, Jay Idzes, Sebastian Walukiewicz – Nemanja Matić, Kristian Thorstvedt, Ismaël Koné – Cristian Volpato, Andrea Pinamonti, Armand Lauriente.
The forward Domenico Berardi will not play due to injury. Defender Vojo Koulibaly departed for the Africa Cup of Nations.
Parma
Parma beat Fiorentina 1:0 at home in the last round. The side have recorded just four wins in the current championship (five draws, seven defeats). At the same time, Parma kept a clean sheet for the fifth time. However, the club have problems in attack: only 11 goals scored, the worst figure in the league. Nevertheless, Parma found the net in six of their last eight Serie A meetings. In the table the club sit 15th, five points clear of the relegation zone.
- The team conceded more than one goal in only one of its last five league matches.
- Away from home Parma have failed to win in five of their last seven Serie A matches (two draws, three defeats).
- At least one opponent failed to score in five of the club's seven previous away games in this competition.
Potential Parma Lineup (4-3-3)*
Edoardo Corvi – Sasa Britcghi, Emanuele Valeri, Lautaro Valenti, Alessandro Cirkati – Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Oliver Sorensen – Mateo Pellegrino, Jakub Ondrejka, Adrian Benedyczak.
First-choice goalkeeper Zion Suzuki, defender Abdoulaye Ndoye, and forward Mattia Frigan will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)
Matches – 6 (the Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 22;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 3.7;
Red Cards Shown – 0;
Fouls Per Match On Average – 24;
Penalties – 17%.
Sassuolo vs Parma: Match Prediction
Matches involving Parma are among the lowest scoring in the current championship, with an average of 1.8 goals. The side have chronic attacking problems: only 11 goals scored, and by xG they are among the three worst teams. In the current campaign the club scored more than one goal only three times, and two of those matches were at home. Away from home the team failed to score in four of seven games. On the other hand, the defence of Parma could be envied by some teams from the top half of the table. In four of the last five away league matches the club conceded no more than one goal, keeping three clean sheets.
Sassuolo are not consistent in attack, so a goalfest against a solid defensive opponent should not be expected from the hosts. Moreover, in the last three head-to-head home meetings in Serie A the side scored only one goal against Parma. And although the home side concede fairly regularly, they can improve the statistics in the upcoming match, given that the opponent has one of the two worst attacks in the league.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* The starting lineup for each team is from their previous match in this competition.