The Matchday 30 Bundesliga clash between St. Pauli and Bayer will take place on April 20 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
In the previous round, the Hamburg side secured a 2-1 away victory against Holstein Kiel. This win was only their second in the last 10 league matches (3 draws, 5 losses). However, after four consecutive games without scoring, Alexander Blessin's team has found the net in five Bundesliga fixtures. Despite this, St. Pauli has only managed 25 goals, the lowest in the league. They are currently 15th in the standings, seven points clear of the relegation playoff zone.
- The team conceded first in 7 of their last 9 league matches.
- Hamburg have not won in 6 of their last 8 home Bundesliga matches (2 draws, 4 losses).
- St. Pauli has not scored more than one goal in 7 of their last 8 home games in this tournament.
Probable lineup for St. Pauli (4-3-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Lars Ritzka, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth, Manolis Saliakas – Adam Dzwigala, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith – Oladapo Afolayan, Danel Sinani, Elias Saad.
Injured players include forward Morgan Guilavogui and midfielder James Sands.
Bayer
Bayer's goalless draw with Union Berlin ended their three-match winning streak in the Bundesliga. This was Bayer's eighth clean sheet in the current championship, while they have failed to score only five times. Overall, the team has netted 63 goals, the second-highest in the tournament after Bayern Munich (83). Bayer also holds the second spot in the standings, trailing Munich by six points.
- Leverkusen conceded in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga matches.
- Bayer has won 7 of their last 9 away games in the league (2 draws).
- The team has scored at least two goals in 12 of their last 16 away matches in this tournament.
Probable lineup for Bayer (4-4-2)
Lukáš Hrádecký – Piero Hincapié, Jonathan Tah, Jeremie Frimpong, Edmond Tapsoba – Nathan Tella, Granit Xhaka, Aleix García, Alejandro Grimaldo – Exequiel Palacios, Patrik Schick.
Defender Mario Hermoso is injured.
Referee
Sören Storks (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 20%.
St. Pauli vs. Bayer: Match Prediction
The Hamburg side is determined to retain their Bundesliga status. In the last five rounds, Alexander Blessin's team has earned nearly a third of their total points this season (2 wins, 2 draws). During this period, St. Pauli also suffered one defeat against Bayern Munich with a score of 2-3. At home, the team has lost only twice in their last six Bundesliga encounters, with one of those losses by a single goal margin.
Leverkusen remains unbeaten away in the current championship. However, it should be noted that Xabi Alonso's team has won 5 of their last 9 away games by a single goal margin and shared points with opponents five times. The home match in the first round against Hamburg was also challenging for Bayer, who won 2-1. I believe it will be even tougher for Leverkusen away.
My prediction: St. Pauli with a handicap (+1.5)
