The Matchday 24 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund will take place on March 1 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
The Hamburg side suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Mainz in the last round, marking their third consecutive loss in the current championship for the second time. Unlike the first such streak, this time Alexander Blessin's team failed to score even once. St. Pauli, with only 18 goals, is the least productive team in the Bundesliga 2024/25, and the club has already gone 10 games without scoring. In the standings, the Hamburg team has dropped to 15th place.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of St. Pauli's last 10 league matches.
- The team has not won in 9 of their last 11 home games in the Bundesliga (3 draws, 6 losses).
- In 7 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament, the club has not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, Lars Ritzka, Jackson Irvine, Siebe Van der Heyden – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Elias Saad.
Forward Morgan Guilavogui is in the club's infirmary. Midfielder James Sands is out for the season.
Borussia Dortmund
Serhou Guirassy's four-goal performance helped Dortmund secure their biggest win of the current championship. Moreover, in the match against Union (6-0), Niko Kovac's side ended an 11-match streak of conceding goals in the Bundesliga. Nevertheless, Borussia has won only twice in their last eight matches in this tournament (1 draw, 5 losses). In the overall standings, the club has risen to 10th place.
- Both opponents scored in 9 of Dortmund's last 12 league matches.
- The team has not won in 11 of their last 13 away matches in the Bundesliga (2 draws, 9 losses).
- Borussia has conceded in 10 consecutive away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Julian Ryerson – Marcel Sabitzer, Maximilian Beyer, Pascal Gross, Giovanni Reyna, Karim Adeyemi – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha is injured.
Referee
Tobias Stieler (Germany)
Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 50%.
Match Prediction: St. Pauli vs. Borussia Dortmund
The debut season in the Bundesliga is proving challenging for the Hamburg side. The team rarely delights fans with victories, and at home, Alexander Blessin's team has only won twice in the current championship (3 draws, 6 losses). One of the defeated opponents was the tournament outsider Holstein Kiel. Although Dortmund does not impress away, they should be able to collect points against such an opponent.
St. Pauli focuses on a solid defense. The team has conceded only 27 goals – the third-best record in the championship. Borussia broke through in the last round, but Union has been prone to collapses this season. Meanwhile, the Hamburg side has suffered only one heavy defeat, and Alexander Blessin's team has conceded more than two goals only twice. Dortmund has a Champions League match coming up, and Niko Kovac's side might conserve energy. The club has not scored more than one goal in 10 of their last 13 away Bundesliga matches.
Considering these facts, my prediction: Borussia Dortmund will not lose and Total under 3.5 goals