Bundesliga
22nd tour
St. Pauli
MATCH FINISHED
15 February
0
:
1
Freiburg

Match stats

Logo St. Pauli Logo Freiburg
54 Ball possession (%) 46
5 Goal attempts 5
1 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 2
0 Blocked shots 0

St. Pauli vs Freiburg: prediction & betting odds 15 February 2025

The Matchday 22 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Freiburg will take place on February 15 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Freiburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

St. Pauli

After a 0-2 away defeat to Leipzig in the last round, the Hamburg side ended a three-match unbeaten run in the league (2 wins, 1 draw). Under Alexander Blessin's guidance, the team failed to score for the 11th time in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. St. Pauli has scored just 18 goals, the worst tally in the tournament, and currently sits in 14th place in the overall standings.


  • At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of St. Pauli's last 8 league matches.
  • The team has not won in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 5 losses).
  • St. Pauli failed to score in 7 of their last 10 home games in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)

Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Siebe Van der Heyden – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Carlo Boukhalfa.


Defenders Manolis Saliakas and forward Morgan Guilavogui are sidelined due to injuries.

Freiburg

Julian Schuster's men secured 1-0 victories against Bochum and Heidenheim in the last two rounds. The team bounced back after three consecutive Bundesliga defeats, and with six points gained, Freiburg climbed into the European competition zone in the standings. However, among the top-6 clubs, Freiburg has the lowest goal tally with 28 goals.


  • At least three goals were scored in 6 of Freiburg's last 8 league matches.
  • The team has not won in 7 of their last 8 away games in this tournament (2 draws, 5 losses).
  • The number "1" appeared in the final score in 5 of Freiburg's last 7 Bundesliga matches.

Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-5-1)

Noah Atubolu – Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Kiliann Sildillia – Eren Dinkci, Maximilian Eggestein, Nicolas Höfler, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo – Lucas Höler.

Referee

Benjamin Brand (Germany)


Matches – 10 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 33;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;

Red cards shown – 2;

Average fouls per match – 20;

Penalties – 10%.

St. Pauli vs. Freiburg: Match Prediction

In the last round, Hamburg conceded more than one goal for the first time in seven league matches. St. Pauli focuses on defense, which gives Alexander Blessin's side the second-best defensive record after Bayern. However, the team struggles in attack, further exacerbated by the injury to top scorer Morgan Guilavogui, who has scored 5 of the team's 18 goals in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. In the last round, without the Guinean in the lineup, Hamburg managed an xG of just 0.72 against Leipzig, who have defensive issues.


Freiburg managed to "dry up" the neighbors of St. Pauli in the standings in the last two rounds. However, Julian Schuster's side only scored once against the underdogs. It's hard to expect a goal fest from a team with the lowest scoring record among the top half of the table. Away from home, the club hasn't scored more than once in 9 Bundesliga matches.


My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals

St. Pauli vs Freiburg Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS

Bundesliga: previous matches of the tournament

St. Pauli
09.02.25
RB Leipzig
St. Pauli
L
01.02.25
St. Pauli
Augsburg
D
26.01.25
St. Pauli
Union Berlin
W
18.01.25
Heidenheim
St. Pauli
W
15.01.25
Bochum
St. Pauli
L
11.01.25
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
L
21.12.24
Stuttgart
St. Pauli
W
14.12.24
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
L
07.12.24
Bayer 04
St. Pauli
L
29.11.24
St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel
W
24.11.24
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
L
09.11.24
St. Pauli
Bayern Munich
L
02.11.24
Hoffenheim
St. Pauli
W
26.10.24
St. Pauli
Wolfsburg
D
18.10.24
Borussia Dortmund
St. Pauli
L
05.10.24
St. Pauli
Mainz 05
L
28.09.24
Freiburg
St. Pauli
W
22.09.24
St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
D
15.09.24
Augsburg
St. Pauli
L
30.08.24
Union Berlin
St. Pauli
L
25.08.24
St. Pauli
Heidenheim
L
More matches
Freiburg
08.02.25
Freiburg
Heidenheim
W
01.02.25
Bochum
Freiburg
W
25.01.25
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
L
18.01.25
Stuttgart
Freiburg
L
14.01.25
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg
L
11.01.25
Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
W
21.12.24
Bayer 04
Freiburg
L
13.12.24
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
W
08.12.24
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
D
30.11.24
Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
W
23.11.24
Borussia Dortmund
Freiburg
L
08.11.24
Union Berlin
Freiburg
D
03.11.24
Freiburg
Mainz 05
D
26.10.24
RB Leipzig
Freiburg
L
19.10.24
Freiburg
Augsburg
W
05.10.24
Werder Bremen
Freiburg
W
28.09.24
Freiburg
St. Pauli
L
21.09.24
Heidenheim
Freiburg
W
14.09.24
Freiburg
Bochum
W
01.09.24
Bayern Munich
Freiburg
L
24.08.24
Freiburg
Stuttgart
W
More matches

H2H: St. Pauli — Freiburg

Bundesliga 2024-2025
28.09.24
Freiburg
St. Pauli
DFB-Pokal 2022-2023
19.10.22
Freiburg
St. Pauli
1
:
1
1
:
0
OT

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
34 25 7 2 99:32 82
2
Bayer 04
34 19 12 3 72:43 69
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 17 9 8 68:46 60
4
Borussia Dortmund
34 17 6 11 71:51 57
5
Freiburg
34 16 7 11 49:53 55
6
Mainz 05
34 14 10 10 55:43 52
7
RB Leipzig
34 13 12 9 53:48 51
8
Werder Bremen
34 14 9 11 54:57 51
9
Stuttgart
34 14 8 12 64:53 50
10
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 13 6 15 55:57 45
11
Wolfsburg
34 11 10 13 56:54 43
12
Augsburg
34 11 10 13 35:51 43
13
Union Berlin
34 10 10 14 35:51 40
14
St. Pauli
34 8 8 18 28:41 32
15
Hoffenheim
34 7 11 16 46:68 32
16
Heidenheim
34 8 5 21 37:64 29
17
Holstein Kiel
34 6 7 21 49:80 25
18
Bochum
34 6 7 21 33:67 25
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
17 14 2 1 53:16 44
2
Borussia Dortmund
17 11 3 3 44:19 36
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
17 10 4 3 41:22 34
4
Bayer 04
17 10 4 3 36:22 34
5
RB Leipzig
17 8 6 3 33:23 30
6
Freiburg
17 9 3 5 32:26 30
7
Mainz 05
17 6 8 3 24:18 26
8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
17 7 3 7 29:26 24
9
Stuttgart
17 7 2 8 35:27 23
10
Augsburg
17 6 5 6 18:20 23
11
Werder Bremen
17 5 6 6 21:26 21
12
Union Berlin
17 5 6 6 18:23 21
13
Hoffenheim
17 4 5 8 25:36 17
14
Wolfsburg
17 3 7 7 27:30 16
15
St. Pauli
17 3 5 9 10:19 14
16
Holstein Kiel
17 4 2 11 24:41 14
17
Bochum
17 3 4 10 16:33 13
18
Heidenheim
17 3 2 12 13:33 11
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
17 11 5 1 46:16 38
2
Bayer 04
17 9 8 0 36:21 35
3
Werder Bremen
17 9 3 5 33:31 30
4
Wolfsburg
17 8 3 6 29:24 27
5
Stuttgart
17 7 6 4 29:26 27
6
Mainz 05
17 8 2 7 31:25 26
7
Eintracht Frankfurt
17 7 5 5 27:24 26
8
Freiburg
17 7 4 6 17:27 25
9
Borussia Dortmund
17 6 3 8 27:32 21
10
Borussia Mönchengladbach
17 6 3 8 26:31 21
11
RB Leipzig
17 5 6 6 20:25 21
12
Augsburg
17 5 5 7 17:31 20
13
Union Berlin
17 5 4 8 17:28 19
14
St. Pauli
17 5 3 9 18:22 18
15
Heidenheim
17 5 3 9 24:31 18
16
Hoffenheim
17 3 6 8 21:32 15
17
Bochum
17 3 3 11 17:34 12
18
Holstein Kiel
17 2 5 10 25:39 11

Team lineups

St. Pauli

A. Blessin
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Nikola Vasilj
gk. 33 -39
Hauke Wahl
df. 33 0
Philipp Treu
df. 33 0
David Nemeth
df. 24 0
Siebe Van der Heyden
df. 13 1
Eric Smith
mf. 32 1
Jackson Irvine
mf. 29 0
James Hoban Sands
mf. 7 0
Johannes Eggestein
fw. 27 3
Noah Raphael Weißhaupt
fw. 19 1
Elias Saad
fw. 18 3
Substitutes
Ben Alexander Voll
gk. 2 -2
Lars Ritzka
df. 21 1
Adam Dzwigala
df. 16 0
Carlo Gregor Boukhalfa
mf. 25 2
Oladapo Joshua Afolayan
fw. 32 3
Danel Sinani
fw. 26 2
Andreas Albers Nielsen
fw. 14 1
Scott Brian Banks
fw. 12 0
Abdoulie Ceesay
fw. 7 0
Freiburg

J. Schuster
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Noah Atubolu
gk. 26 -37
Matthias Ginter
df. 32 2
Philipp Lienhart
df. 32 1
Christian Günter
df. 29 2
Kiliann Eric Sildillia
df. 21 2
Ritsu Doan
mf. 34 10
Vincenzo Grifo
mf. 34 8
Maximilian Eggestein
mf. 33 2
Patrick Osterhage
mf. 30 1
Merlin Röhl
mf. 19 0
Lucas Höler
fw. 31 6
Substitutes
Florian Müller
gk. 9 -16
Maximilian Rosenfelder
df. 25 1
Jordy Makengo Basambundu
df. 19 0
Jan-Niklas Beste
df. 12 0
Nicolas Hefler
mf. 20 0
Johan Manzambi
mf. 11 2
Chukwubuike Junior Adamu
fw. 25 2
Eren Sami Dinkçi
fw. 23 0
Maximilian Marcus Philipp
fw. 2 0
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