The Matchday 22 clash in the Bundesliga between St. Pauli and Freiburg will take place on February 15 at the Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Freiburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
After a 0-2 away defeat to Leipzig in the last round, Hamburg ended their three-match unbeaten streak in the league (2 wins, 1 draw). Alexander Blessin's side failed to score for the 11th time in the Bundesliga 2024/25 season. With only 18 goals scored, the team has the worst attacking record in the tournament. In the overall standings, St. Pauli sits in 14th place.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in 7 of Hamburg's last 8 league matches.
- The team has not won in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 5 losses).
- St. Pauli has failed to score in 7 of their 10 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Sibe van der Heyden – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Carlo Bouhalfa.
Defenders Manolis Saliakas and forward Morgan Guilavogui are sidelined with injuries.
Freiburg
Julian Schuster's side secured 1-0 victories over Bochum and Heidenheim in their last two rounds. The team managed to recover from three consecutive Bundesliga defeats, and with six points gained, Freiburg has climbed into the European competition zone in the standings. However, among the top six teams, the club has the lowest scoring record with 28 goals.
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Freiburg's last 8 league matches.
- The team has not won in 7 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament (2 draws, 5 losses).
- The number "1" has appeared in the final scoreline in 5 of the club's last 7 Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-5-1)
Noah Atubolu – Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Kiliann Sildillia – Eren Dinkci, Maximilian Eggestein, Nicolas Höfler, Ritsu Doan, Vincenzo Grifo – Lucas Höler.
St. Pauli vs. Freiburg: Match Prediction
In the last round, Hamburg conceded more than one goal for the first time in seven league matches. St. Pauli focuses on defense, which gives Alexander Blessin's side the second-best defensive record after Bayern. However, the club struggles in attack, a situation worsened by the injury to their top scorer Morgan Guilavogui, who has scored 5 of the team's 18 Bundesliga goals this season. Without the Guinean, Hamburg managed an xG of just 0.72 against Leipzig, who have defensive issues.
Freiburg managed to "dry up" St. Pauli's table neighbors in their last two rounds but only scored once against the league's bottom sides. It's hard to expect a goal fest from a team with the lowest scoring record among the top half of the table. On the road, the club has not scored more than once in 9 consecutive Bundesliga matches.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
Holstein Kiel
Heidenheim
Mainz 05
