The Bundesliga 16th-round match between St. Pauli and RB Leipzig will take place on 10 january at Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
St. Pauli
In the previous round St. Pauli drew with Mainz away (0:0). As a result St. Pauli failed to win in 11 of their last 12 Bundesliga matches (2 draws, 9 losses). In addition, the hosts failed to score for the seventh time in the current championship. In the league table the team, with 12 points, is in 16th place. It is worth noting that St. Pauli, together with Mainz and Heidenheim, has scored the fewest goals in the current Bundesliga season (13 goals).
- The club has failed to win in 9 of its last 11 home league matches (3 draws, 6 losses).
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of the last 7 home meetings of the team in the Bundesliga.
- The hosts failed to score more than once in 12 of their last 15 home league matches.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasil – Adam Dzwigala, Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Jackson Irvine, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Luis Oppi – Matias Pereira Lage, Andrea Untondji.
Defender David Nemeth and forward Andrea Untondji are injured. Note that during the winter transfer window defender Tomoya Ando joined the squad.
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig lost at home to Bayer by 1:3 in the previous round. As a result RB Leipzig suffered its fourth defeat in the current Bundesliga season, and in each lost match the club conceded at least three goals. Note the high scoring of the team: by goals scored in the current championship RB Leipzig (30) is behind only Bayer (33) and Bayern (55). In the league table the club sits in fourth place with 29 points.
- The team has failed to win in 7 of the last 10 away Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 4 losses).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 7 of the club's last 10 away league matches.
- RB Leipzig did not concede more than one goal in 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga matches.
Potential RB Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Peter Gulacsi – David Raum, Castello Lukeba, Willi Orban, Kosta Nedelkovic – Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald – Romulo, Konrad Harder, Tidiam Gomis.
Forward Yann Idomande will miss the match due to participation in the Africa Cup of Nations. Note that midfielder Amadou Haidara has left the squad.
Referee
Florian Exner (Germany)
Matches – 5 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards Shown (Including Second Yellows) – 28;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 5.6;
Red Cards Shown – 0;
Fouls Per Match – 24;
Penalties – 20%.
St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig: Match Prediction
The hosts devote much of their play to defence and try above all to protect their goal from opponents' attacks. Due to this style the club has low scoring figures – no Bundesliga team has scored fewer goals this season than St. Pauli. In addition, even at home the hosts rarely produce strong attacking performances: in their last 15 home Bundesliga matches the club scored more than one goal only three times.
RB Leipzig struggles to produce attacking actions away from home. In the previous ten away league matches the visitors managed to score at least twice only once, and in four matches during that period the players left the field without scoring at all. On the other hand, in 5 of the last 7 away Bundesliga meetings RB Leipzig did not concede more than one goal.
Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
* For each team the starting lineup shown is from its previous match in this competition.