Matchday 19 of the Bundesliga sees St. Pauli take on Union Berlin at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg on January 26. St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Predicted lineups for St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin
St. Pauli (3-4-3): Nikola Vasilj – Eric Smith, Hauke Wahl, David Nemeth – Philipp Treu, James Sands, Jackson Irvine, Manolis Saliakas – Noah Weißhaupt, Johannes Eggestein, Morgan Guilavogui.
Union Berlin (3-5-2): Alexander Schwolow – Danilho Doekhi, Diogo Leite, Leopold Querfeld – Robert Skov, Alesha Kemlein, András Schäfer, Josip Juranović, Janik Haberer – Benedict Hollerbach, Jordan Siebatcheu.
Each team’s starting lineup from their last match in this tournament is listed.
St. Pauli
Alexander Blessin's side secured a 2-0 away victory over Heidenheim in the last round. This win marked Hamburg's second victory in their last six league matches (4 losses). Moreover, they kept a clean sheet for the sixth time in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season, a feat only surpassed by Leipzig (8) and Bayern Munich (9). With three points gained, St. Pauli has distanced themselves from the relegation zone by three points.
- No more than two goals have been scored in St. Pauli's last 5 league matches.
- Hamburg has failed to win 7 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament (2 draws, 5 losses).
- At least one opponent failed to score in 7 of St. Pauli's last 8 home Bundesliga games.
Union Berlin
The Berliners ended a 10-match winless streak in the league (3 draws, 7 losses) with a 2-1 home victory over Mainz. However, Steffen Baumgart's men have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches in this tournament. The team is in 13th place, three points ahead of their closest competitor.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Union Berlin's last 7 Bundesliga matches.
- The capital club has lost their last 5 away matches in this tournament.
- In 4 of their last 5 away league games, Berliners have not scored more than one goal.
St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin: Match Prediction
The upcoming game features two of the lowest-scoring teams in the current championship. Combined, the opponents have scored 30 times, a tally surpassed by nine clubs in the tournament. Matches involving Union Berlin and St. Pauli are among the least productive in the 2024/25 Bundesliga, averaging 2.2 and 1.9 goals respectively. Alexander Blessin's side has particularly poor home statistics: in 7 of their 8 matches, Hamburg failed to score against their opponents.
Nevertheless, the defensive reliability of both teams cannot be overlooked. Only Bayern Munich has conceded fewer goals than St. Pauli, and Union Berlin's defensive metrics are envied by many clubs in the upper half of the table. For instance, Union ranks among the top three in xGA.
The first-round match ended with a narrow win for the Berliners, despite neither side achieving an xG of even one goal. I expect another low-scoring encounter this time around, my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
