The Matchday 27 clash in Ligue 1 between Toulouse and Brest will take place on March 30 at the Toulouse Stadium. Toulouse vs. Brest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Toulouse
In the previous round, the club's three-match unbeaten run in Ligue 1 (2 wins, 1 draw) came to an end with a 1-2 defeat to Strasbourg. Despite the loss, the team managed to score again, extending their scoring streak in this tournament to four matches. Notably, Toulouse boasts a solid defense in the current championship, having conceded 29 goals, with only PSG (25) and Lille (28) conceding fewer. In the Ligue 1 standings, the club is in 10th place, trailing the European competition zone by 10 points.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Toulouse's last 8 Ligue 1 matches.
- The club's winless home streak in this tournament stands at 5 matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in their last 5 home league matches.
Predicted lineup for Toulouse (4-5-1)
Kjetil Haug – Gabriel Suazo, Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Djibril Sidibe – Vincent Sierro, Cristian Casseres, Frank Magri, Yann Gboho, Aron Dønnum – Xavi Babica.
Brest
The Bretons played out a goalless draw with Reims in their previous Ligue 1 encounter. Before that, the club secured a clean sheet victory over Angers in the championship with a 2-0 scoreline. Thus, Brest managed to keep their goal intact for two consecutive matches for the first time in the current Ligue 1 season. The team has avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 top-flight French league matches (5 wins, 3 draws) and is one place above their upcoming opponent in the standings, occupying 9th place.
- The club has scored in 13 of their last 16 league matches.
- Brest has not lost in 4 of their last 5 Ligue 1 away matches (3 wins, 1 draw).
- At least one goal has been scored in the first half of 11 of Brest's last 12 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-5-1)
Marco Bizot – Kenny Lala, Julien Le Cardinal, Abdoulaye Ndiaye, Massadio Haidara – Hugo Magnetti, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara, Romain Faivre, Mathias Pereira Lage – Ludovic Ajorque.
Defender Massadio Haidara will miss the game due to suspension, and midfielder Hugo Magnetti is out due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Hakim Ben El Hadj (France)
Matches – 12 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 48;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 25%.
Toulouse vs. Brest: Match Prediction
Bookmakers have made the hosts the clear favorites for the upcoming match, which I disagree with. Firstly, Toulouse has been underperforming at home in the current championship, earning fewer points at home than away (16 vs. 18). Moreover, the club has not won at home in the current calendar year, going winless in 5 Ligue 1 matches. Secondly, the Bretons have been a tough opponent for Toulouse, with the team failing to win in their last 7 head-to-head league encounters (3 draws, 4 losses). In the first round of the current Ligue 1 season, Brest emerged victorious with a 2-0 scoreline.
Furthermore, the Bretons consistently earn points in recent away matches in the French championship, avoiding defeat in 4 of their last 5 outings. In 3 of their last 4 away matches in the top French league, they have been very solid defensively, not allowing opponents to score.
Therefore, I don't expect an easy match for the hosts against a difficult opponent, especially considering their recent lack of confidence at home. I believe the visitors will take points from Toulouse, my prediction: Brest to win or draw
