The Ligue 1 Matchday 23 clash between Toulouse and Paris will take place on 21 February at the Stadium Municipal. Toulouse vs Paris: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Toulouse
The club have played their last two league matches away from home, losing in turn to Angers (0:1) and Le Havre (1:2). Prior to that, they were held to a goalless draw at home by Auxerre. As a result of this poor run, the team have dropped to 10th in the standings, but they remain among the contenders to finish in the European places, sitting four points off the target. It is also worth noting that Toulouse have a positive goal difference (+6), and only five sides boast a better figure.
- The team have failed to win 10 of their last 14 Ligue 1 matches (5 draws and 5 defeats).
- At least one of the two sides failed to score in 6 of Toulouse’s previous 8 Ligue 1 games.
- The club have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 9 home league matches (3 wins and 4 draws).
Potential Toulouse Lineup (3-3-3-1)*
Guillaume Restes – Rasmus Nicolaisen, Charlie Cresswell, Mark McKenzie – Djibril Sidibe, Rafik Messali, Pape Demba Diop – Cristian Casseres, Yann Gboho, Aron Donnum – Emersonn.
Midfielder Abu Francis and forward Frank Magri are currently in the treatment room. Defender Mark McKenzie will also miss out through suspension.
Paris
The capital club hosted Lens last time out and suffered their heaviest defeat since being promoted to Ligue 1, losing 0:5. Before that, the team drew three straight matches. Interestingly, in the current league campaign the Parisians have conceded at least four goals on three occasions. What is more, Paris have managed just one win in their last 11 matches in the domestic competition (5 draws and 5 defeats). Those results have taken their toll: the club are now 15th, though they still hold a five-point cushion over the bottom three.
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of the team’s last 7 Ligue 1 matches.
- Paris have found the net in 8 of their last 10 away league games.
- The club have failed to win the first half in 14 of their last 15 Ligue 1 away matches (8 draws and 6 defeats).
Potential Paris Lineup (5-4-1)*
Kevin Trapp – Timothee Kolodziejczak, Rabbi Matondo, Otavio, Nhoa Sangui, Diego Coppola – Luca Koleosho, Marshall Munetsi, Maxime Lopez, Ilan Kebbal – Ciro Immobile.
Forward Pierre-Yves Hamel is out injured, along with defenders Samir Chergui, Thibault De Smet and Sofyan Alakouch. Midfielders Maxime Lopez and Adama Camara will miss the match through suspension.
Referee
Benoit Millot (France)
Matches – 9 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Yellow cards per match on average – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 26;
Penalties – 22%.
Toulouse vs Paris: Match Prediction
In the reverse fixture, the Parisians lost to this opponent, and in emphatic fashion too, going down 0:3 at home. In addition, the capital club have also been beaten on their last two visits to the Stadium Municipal, both of which came in France’s second tier. Judging by the current form of both sides and their results in the new year, the win should once again go to the hosts.
Toulouse have lost only once in their last four home Ligue 1 matches (2 wins and 1 draw), with that defeat coming against league leaders Lens. It is also worth adding that in their last six home outings, the club have conceded more than once only on a single occasion. Paris are in very poor shape. Just one win in their last 11 league matches speaks for itself — especially as that victory came against Nantes, who are in the relegation zone.
Prediction: Toulouse to win
* For each team, the starting XI listed is the one they fielded in their previous match in this competition.