The matchday 23 Bundesliga fixture between Union Berlin and Bayer 04 Leverkusen will take place on 21 February at the An der Alten Forsterei in Berlin. Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Union Berlin
The team lost 3:2 away to Hamburg in the previous round. As a result, the Berliners' winless run in the league has reached seven matches (four draws, three defeats). However, it is worth noting that for the first time in their last six Bundesliga games, the club scored more than once. Overall, Steffen Baumgart's side have 28 goals to their name, which is the 10th-best tally in the division. Union Berlin also sit 10th in the table, but their gap to the relegation play-off place is far from comfortable – just six points.
- The club conceded first in six of their last seven league matches.
- On home soil, the Berliners have avoided defeat in seven of their previous nine Bundesliga matches (two wins, five draws).
- The team have conceded in each of their last six home games in this tournament.
Potential Union Berlin Lineup (3-4-3)*
Frederik Ronnow – Danilo Doekhi, Leopold Querfeld, Stanley Nsoki – Rani Khedira, Derrick Kohn, Ihlas Ansah, Christopher Trimmel – Andrej Ilic, Jeong Woo-yeong, Aljoscha Kemlein.
Midfielder Robert Skov and defenders Diogo Leite and Tom Rothe are injured.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
The meeting with St. Pauli in the previous round proved to be a stroll in the park for the Leverkusen side. By beating their opponents 4:0, the team claimed a third win in their last four league matches (one draw). It was only the sixth time in the 2025/26 Bundesliga season that the club kept a clean sheet. Even so, Kasper Hjulmand's side have conceded just 27 goals, with only Borussia Dortmund (20) and Bayern Munich (19) looking more reliable at the back. Bayer 04 Leverkusen’s league position remained unchanged after the last round – sixth place and three points adrift of the Champions League spots.
- The team have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their previous seven league matches.
- Away from home, the Leverkusen side have avoided defeat in 41 of their last 44 Bundesliga matches (28 wins, 13 draws).
- In five of their previous six away games in this tournament, Bayer 04 Leverkusen have conceded exactly one goal.
Potential Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineup (3-4-3)*
Janis Blaswich – Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba – Alejandro Grimaldo, Aleix Garcia, Ibrahim Maza, Exequiel Palacios – Patrik Schick, Ernest Poku, Lucas Vazquez.
Goalkeeper Mark Flekken and forward Nathan Tella are injured.
Referee
Harm Osmers (Germany)
Matches – 9 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 67%.
Union Berlin vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Match Prediction
Union Berlin’s attention in the coming days will be focused on the Champions League. The club are unlikely to find themselves in that tournament any time soon, but their opponents face a hugely important clash as they bid to reach the last 16. Bayer 04 Leverkusen may prioritise European competition, and in that situation the hosts have a good chance of picking up points, especially as Union Berlin have looked solid at home anyway.
Steffen Baumgart's side have avoided defeat in seven of their last nine home Bundesliga matches (two wins, five draws), with one of those defeats coming against title contenders Borussia Dortmund. It is also worth adding that while the Berliners are not particularly prolific, they have no problems converting chances: the club have scored in 12 of their previous 13 Bundesliga matches.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen have been inconsistent on the road. In their last seven away league matches in this tournament, the team have won three and lost three. They have also conceded in every game across that spell. What is more, the club have not kept a single away clean sheet in the league this season.
Prediction: Union Berlin to score + Union Berlin, double chance
* For each team, the starting line-up listed is the XI from their previous match in this tournament.