The Matchday 23 La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Madrid will take place on 8 February at Mestalla. Valencia vs Real Madrid: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Valencia
In the previous round, Valencia suffered a frustrating defeat to Real Betis due to a late decisive goal (1:2). That result ended the club’s three-match unbeaten run in the Spanish top flight (two wins, one draw). The team are in a very precarious position, so they are trying to fight for points regardless of the opponent’s level. With that mindset, the home side have lost only three of their last 11 matches in La Liga. However, there have also been just three wins during that spell. As a result, the team sit 16th in the standings with only a minimal gap above the relegation zone. It is also worth noting that Valencia’s scoring streak in La Liga has now reached 11 matches, but in nine of those 11 games both teams found the net.
- This league season, the club have conceded 35 goals in total — more have been shipped only by Girona (36) and Sevilla (37).
- The team are unbeaten in six home matches in this competition (two wins, four draws).
- Valencia have not scored more than one goal in 15 of their previous 16 La Liga matches.
Potential Valencia Lineup (4-4-2)*
Stole Dimitrievski – Dimitri Foulquier, Eray Comert, Jose Manuel Copete, Jose Luis Gaya – Filip Ugrinic, Pepelu, Arnaut Danjuma, Luis Rioja – Lucas Beltran, Hugo Duro.
Goalkeeper Cristian Rivero continues to serve a suspension. Another goalkeeper, Julen Agirrezabala, as well as defender Mouctar Diakhaby, are unavailable due to injury. Defender Thierry Correia is a doubt.
Real Madrid
The club are doing everything they can to avoid falling behind leaders Barcelona and to move into first place in the table. In their most recent La Liga match, Real Madrid ground out a home derby win over Rayo Vallecano (2:1). The crucial points were secured by a goal scored in the 100th minute. The visitors have now won six straight La Liga matches — matching the team’s best winning run in the competition this season. After last weekend’s games, the club remained one point behind Barcelona. The gap to the nearest pursuer, Atletico Madrid, increased to nine points. Note that since the start of this league campaign, Real Madrid have scored 47 goals in total, with only Barcelona better on that metric (60).
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in seven consecutive away La Liga matches (four wins, three draws).
- The club’s run of decisive results in this competition has reached eight matches (seven wins, one defeat).
- Over the entire current La Liga season, Real Madrid have conceded 18 goals — fewer have been allowed only by Atletico Madrid (17).
Potential Real Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)*
Thibaut Courtois – Raul Asencio, Dean Huijsen, Federico Valverde, Eduardo Camavinga – Aurelien Tchouameni, Arda Guler, Jude Bellingham, Franco Mastantuono – Vinicius Junior, Kylian Mbappe.
First-choice forward Vinicius Junior is suspended. Midfielder Jude Bellingham and defender Eder Militao will miss the game through injury.
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 12 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second bookings) – 48;
Yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 4;
Fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 67%.
Valencia vs Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Valencia are in a very dangerous position in the table. In order to avoid dropping into the relegation zone, the home side are trying to compete against absolutely every opponent. Defeats have not been entirely avoided, but over the last 11 league rounds the club have lost just three times, and on two occasions they were beaten by the narrowest of margins. On their own ground, the hosts have taken at least one point in six straight La Liga matches (two wins, four draws), and across the whole season the team have only two defeats in their last 11 matches in this competition.
Real Madrid have not slipped up for six La Liga rounds, but even during such a successful run there have often been nervy moments. Away from home, the visiting team have regularly encountered difficulties in general, and across their eight previous league matches they have managed only two wins by a margin of more than one goal. Recent trips to Valencia have also proved difficult: across the last seven head-to-head meetings on the road, Real Madrid either dropped points or won by the narrowest of advantages.
Prediction: Valencia (+1.5)
* For each team, the starting XI from their last match in this competition is listed.